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John Breech#34 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 26, 2026

Breech picked the Cowboys to beat the Eagles on Monday night by a score of 23-17.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

74Close · out of 100

Cowboys 38–21What happenedcalled Cowboys by 6 · won by 17

8.32A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

73.81This callout of 100

#34John Breech’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What John Breech said

John Breech's pick: Cowboys 23-17 over Eagles

Our reading: Dallas Cowboys 23 — Eagles 17

Where it was published: CBS Sports
The piece: Pick Six: 10 crazy stats from NFL's Week 7, plus Cowboys-Eagles picks for Monday night
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 26
PlayedOct 26
GradedOct 27

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 73.8 out of 100, against 8.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Score Predictions Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys 23 — Eagles 17
What happenedCowboys 38–21called Cowboys by 6 · won by 17
73.81Close · naive 8.32
73.81this call8.32a naive guess65.49better than naive1.67difficulty+109.36skill
Closing line (Oct 26): Cowboys by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 23–17 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 6) and fewer points (40).
How this was scored
score:
38-21
skill:
109.36
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
73.81
baseline:
8.32
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
12
naive home margin:
−0.5
predicted margin:
6
Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Cowboys at EaglesCowboys 38Eagles 2131 calls →

Who this take is about

Dallas Cowboys

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Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.

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