Gregg Rosenthal· Aug 27, 2025
Rosenthal picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Micah Parsons for Defensive Player of the Year, Jahmyr Gibbs for Offensive Player of the Year, Aaron Glenn for Coach of the Year, Travis Hunter for both Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year, Bill Callahan for Assistant Coach of the Year and Tristan Wirfs for Protector of the Year. He also made depth-chart calls on Adam Thielen and Jalen Coker.
“I'm doing the Travis Hunner Daily Double.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
11 checkable claims — 6 award picks, 2 coach award picks, 2 depth chart calls and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 11 have settled, averaging 16.7 out of 100, against 25.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
11 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Roster Spot CallsJavon BakerNew England PatriotsAug 27, 2025
Javon Baker to make the roster
“Javon Baker should be back on their practice squad.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NE
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Javon Baker
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- he lands on the practice squad
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- Award PicksTristan WirfsTampa Bay BuccaneersAug 27, 2025
Tristan Wirfs to win Protector of the Year
“I know Tristan Wurfs is hurt to start the season, but I'm going to say he's going to come back and he's going to look so good by the end of the year... that he wins it”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- protector_of_the_year
- naive:
- we hold no 2024 winner, so the naive pick scored 0
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Tristan Wirfs
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Joe Thuney
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Award PicksJahmyr GibbsDetroit LionsAug 27, 2025
Jahmyr Gibbs to win Offensive Player of the Year
“I'm going to take the third favorite to win it as my pick, which is Jamiir Gibbs.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jahmyr Gibbs
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Award PicksPatrick MahomesKansas City ChiefsAug 27, 2025
Patrick Mahomes to win MVP
“We did it separately and we ended up on the exact same page... I just think he is ready to remind everyone who he is.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Patrick Mahomes
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Award PicksMicah ParsonsDallas CowboysAug 27, 2025
Micah Parsons to win Defensive Player of the Year
“I'm going Michael Parsons Defensive Player of the Year”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- defensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Pat Surtain II, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Micah Parsons
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Myles Garrett
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Coach Award PicksAug 27, 2025
Bill Callahan to win Assistant Coach of the Year
“my pick is going to be Titans offensive line coach Bill Callahan”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- assistant_coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Bill Callahan
- naive:
- we hold no 2024 winner, so the naive pick scored 0
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Josh McDaniels
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Coach Award PicksAug 27, 2025
Aaron Glenn to win Coach of the Year
“I went for a more under the radar guy in terms of the odds... Aaron Glenn is the fourth favorite... if they win nine games, I could see him winning.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Aaron Glenn
- naive:
- the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Mike Vrabel
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Award PicksTravis HunterJacksonville JaguarsAug 27, 2025
Travis Hunter to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“which makes me way happier to pick Travis Hunter, who's fourth on the list... So I am not only taking him for Offensive Rookie of the Year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Travis Hunter
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Award PicksTravis HunterJacksonville JaguarsAug 27, 2025
Travis Hunter to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“I'm having him pull the Daily Double. Let's go Defensive Rookie of the Year. He wins him both.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- defensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Jared Verse, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Travis Hunter
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Carson Schwesinger
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Depth Chart CallsJalen CokerCarolina PanthersAug 27, 2025
Jalen Coker to be 1st on the depth chart
“you mentioned Jalen Cocher, an undrafted rookie last year, will now be their starting slot receiver”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CAR
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Jalen Coker
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 4
- actual slot:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Depth Chart CallsAdam ThielenMinnesota VikingsAug 27, 2025
Adam Thielen to be 3rd on the depth chart
“He's he's going to be their number three receiver when Jordan Adison is back, but he's absolutely their number two receiver.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- PIT
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Adam Thielen
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 18
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Minnesota VikingsHit · 100Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
More award picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Brandon SneideAward Picks · Matthew StaffordHit · 100Snyder picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 31-23 in Super Bowl 60, believing Seattle pulls away late, and says Drake Maye will finish second in MVP voting behind Matthew Stafford.
- Nick WrightAward Picks · Rashid ShaheedMiss · 0Nick picked Seattle to win the Super Bowl 27-17, citing Seattle's defense, coaching against young quarterbacks and schedule strength, and named Rasheed Shaheed as his dark horse Super Bowl MVP.
- Chris BroussardAward Picks · Cooper KuppMiss · 0Broussard picked New England to beat Seattle 24-21, with Drake May winning Super Bowl MVP, and named Cooper Kupp as his dark horse MVP.
- Danny ParkinsAward Picks · Jaxon Smith-NjigbaMiss · 0Parkins picked Seattle to win 27-16 with Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Super Bowl MVP.
- Willie ColonAward Picks · Sam DarnoldMiss · 0Colon picked the Seahawks to win 24-14 with Sam Darnold as Super Bowl MVP.
- Pat McAfeeAward Picks · Matthew StaffordHit · 100McAfee predicted Matthew Stafford will win his first MVP award this season, saying he'll be on stage at the NFL Honors regardless of whether the Rams reach the Super Bowl. He also picked the Bills over the Broncos, the Patriots over the Texans, and said the Rams will win a close one in Chicago (while taking the Bears on the spread).