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Albert Breer#35 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 8, 2026

Breer argued the Packers are being underrated in their matchup with the Bears and said Green Bay should win the game on Sunday, citing better quarterback play, receivers, special teams and urgency.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Packers 31–7What happenedBears at Packers
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#35Albert Breer’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Albert Breer said

Green Bay should win, should, should, should.
Our reading: Green Bay Packers to beat Chicago
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
The Ben Johnson/Matt LaFleur Rivalry is Great For the Sport
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 8
  2. PlayedOct 11
  3. GradedOct 11

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers to beat Chicago

    What happenedPackers 31–7Bears at Packers
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.78difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 53%, Packers 47%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    7-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    14
    Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

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