Christian BooherOct 4, 2026
Booher expects the Lions to beat the injury-depleted Panthers in a high-scoring primetime game, winning on clutch late plays to improve to 3-1.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Christian Booher said
The Lions move to 3-1, thanks to some clutch plays down the stretch.
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- Expert Predictions For Detroit Lions Matchup With Carolina Panthers
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 4
- PlayedOct 4
- GradedOct 5
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 40.5 out of 100, against 88.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Score PredictionsDetroit Lions
Detroit Lions 30 — Panthers 20
What happenedPanthers 32–26called Lions by 10 · lost by 640.48Close · naive 88.140.48this call−88.1a naive guess=−47.62worse than naive×1.83difficulty=−87.14skillClosing line (Oct 4): Lions by 4.5, total 52.5 · this 30–20 calls a bigger Lions win (by 10) and fewer points (50).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 26-32
- skill:
- −87.14
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 40.48
- baseline:
- 88.1
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 1
- predicted margin:
- 10
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.