Chris RaybonJul 23, 2025
Raybon's biggest offseason move is Liam Coen to Jacksonville, and they expect nearly every Jaguars fantasy piece to beat their draft cost — Trevor Lawrence as a QB12-type, rookie Bhayshul Tuten as the team's eventual lead back, Brian Thomas Jr. with WR1-overall upside and Brenton Strange as value. They also expect mild regression for Baker Mayfield without Coen (still a top-six fantasy QB), likes Omarion Hampton, Treveon Henderson, Stefon Diggs, Rhamondre Stevenson, Matthew Golden, Jayden Reed and Jordan Love, and thinks Najee Harris slips to RB3 territory.
Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original
What Chris Raybon said
Brian Thomas Junior has upside to be the number one wide receiver in the entire NFL this year.
- Where it was said
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
- The episode
- The Favorites - Top 10 NFL Fantasy Moves
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJul 22, 2025
- GradedAug 5–19, 2026
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleeper Calls | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| Depth Chart Calls | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Positional Finishes | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| All | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
How each call scored
12 checkable claims — 7 sleeper calls, 3 depth chart calls and 2 positional finishes — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 12 have settled, averaging 53.5 out of 100, against 59 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Sleeper Calls3 hits · 4 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (going as the running back forty four)
“rookie baseel tooting at running back. I think he could smash his ADPs going as the running back forty four.”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- going as the running back forty four
- naive:
- a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Bhayshul Tuten
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- had to beat:
- RB24
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- RB48
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost (going around the quarterback twenty)
“I think Trevor Lawrence could beat his ADPs going around the quarterback twenty. I think he should be more so a low end QB one, high m QB two.”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- going around the quarterback twenty
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Trevor Lawrence
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- had to beat:
- QB27
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- QB4
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Brenton Strange to outplay his draft cost (Their tight end is going twentieth)
“tight end, Brenton Strange, both of those guys I think are going to provide some value as well”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- Their tight end is going twentieth
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Brenton Strange
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- TE
- had to beat:
- TE30
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- TE23
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Matthew Golden to outplay his draft cost (going outside the top forty, right outside the top forty)
“I think Golden is a smash... I know he's kind of going outside the top forty, right outside the top forty”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- going outside the top forty, right outside the top forty
- naive:
- a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Matthew Golden
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR36
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR92
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
Jayden Reed to outplay his draft cost (he's also going outside the top forty)
“I think Reed is undervalued as well... he's also going outside the top forty now”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- he's also going outside the top forty
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Jayden Reed
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR21
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR117
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Stefon Diggs to outplay his draft cost (he's going outside the top forty in most fantasy drafts)
“I really think Stefan Diggs is being being underrated here... he's going outside the top forty in most fantasy drafts”
100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- he's going outside the top forty in most fantasy drafts
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Stefon Diggs
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR70
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR24
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Brian Thomas Jr. to outplay his draft cost (is going wide receiver eight)
“Brian Thomas, who has number one overall Fantasy player like Justin Jefferson, Jamar Chase type upside is going wide receiver eight”
0Miss0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- is going wide receiver eight
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Brian Thomas Jr.
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR4
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR45
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
Depth Chart Calls2 hits · 1 close callShow ▸Hide ▾
Bhayshul Tuten to be 1st on the depth chart
“They're likely top running back by the end of the year's going outside the top forty”
No. 2called No. 1 · by rushing yards91.67Hit91.67 − 100 naive = −8.33 × 2 difficulty = −16.67 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- JAX
- skill:
- −16.67
- player:
- Bhayshul Tuten
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart
“where he's going, like outside the top forty at running back, he could still be the lead back”
No. 2called No. 1 · by rushing yards91.67Hit91.67 − 91.67 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- NE
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Rhamondre Stevenson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Matthew Golden to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think he could be the Packers number one wide receiver this year... I think he's going to be the number one when it's all said and done”
No. 4called No. 1 · by receptions75Close75 − 83.33 naive = −8.33 × 2 difficulty = −16.67 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- GB
- skill:
- −16.67
- player:
- Matthew Golden
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Positional Finishes1 close call · 1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
Trevor Lawrence to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
“I have um QB twelve”
Finished #4called #12 · by fantasy points33.33Miss33.33 − 0 naive = 33.33 × 2 difficulty = +66.67 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 66.67
- player:
- Trevor Lawrence
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 33.33
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 27
- actual finish:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 12
Baker Mayfield to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points
“I still think Baker is a top ten fantasy quarterback... somewhere in that six to twelve range. I think I have them number six”
Finished #12called #6 · by fantasy points50Close50 − 33.33 naive = 16.67 × 2 difficulty = +33.33 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Baker Mayfield
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 33.33
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 4
- actual finish:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 6
Who this take is about
Bhayshul Tuten, Jacksonville Jaguars, Trevor Lawrence, Brenton Strange, Matthew Golden, Green Bay Packers, Jayden Reed, Stefon Diggs, New England Patriots, Brian Thomas Jr., Rhamondre Stevenson, Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Others on the same people
Brandon Carney · Trade and Signing Calls · Mike Evans · Miss 0
Carney predicts Geno Smith signs with the Vikings and starts for them, that at least four of the fringe veteran quarterbacks (Tua, Kyler, Cousins, Fields, Geno) will be starters next season, and that Mike Evans stays with Tampa Bay. They also rank their top fantasy wide receivers and comments on running back landing spots and trade values.Bobby Skinner · Trade and Signing Calls · Stefon Diggs · Miss 0
Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates they had listed.Dalton Feely · Trade and Signing Calls · Chris Godwin Jr. · Hit 100
Feenie predicted Chris Godwin stays in Tampa Bay, Josh Sweat reunites with Jonathan Gannon in Arizona, Ronnie Stanley signs with New England, Jevon Holland lands in Indianapolis, Khalil Mack joins Washington, Asante Samuel Jr. goes to San Francisco, Najee Harris to the Raiders and Bobby Wagner to Dallas.Bill Huber · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite their rib injury. They also sketch the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.Derek Brown · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. They were bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.
More sleeper calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Derek Brown · Sleeper Calls · Jalen Coker · Hit 100
Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.Chris Welsh · Sleeper Calls · Tyler Warren · Hit 100
Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.Pat Fitzmaurice · Sleeper Calls · Rashee Rice · Miss 0
Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.Joe Pisapia · Sleeper Calls · Tyreek Hill · Miss 0
Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.