TJ Jefferson#66 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 3, 2025
Jefferson put the Bills atop the AFC East with the Jets fourth and Patriots third, leaving the Dolphins second.
Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original
What TJ Jefferson said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI got the Bills wrapped in this thing.
- Where it was said
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
- The episode
- Hour 3: Desmond Howard Rips Arch Manning, AFC East Predictions & actor Dylan O’Brien
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 3, 2025
- GradedAug 13–17, 2026
- 1Buffalo Bills to win the division“So I got the Bills wrapped in this thing.”
- 2Power Rankings“I got the Jets coming in fourth. Brotman, I'm sorry. I got the Pats third... And then, of course, you know my guy, Josh Allen... So I got the Bills wrapped in this thing.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills to win the division1 | Division Winners | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| “I got the Jets coming in fourth. Brotman, I'm sorry. I got the…”2 | Power Rankings | — | 70 | 40 | +60 | |
| 2 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled | 35 | 20 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive2 checkable claims — 1 division winner and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
All 2 have settled, averaging 35 out of 100, against 20 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Division WinnersBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to win the division
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
“I got the Jets coming in fourth. Brotman, I'm sorry. I got the Pats third... And then, of course, you know my guy, Josh Allen... So I got the Bills wrapped in this thing.”
VerdictClose70Close · naive 4070this call−40a naive guess=30better than naive×2difficulty=+60skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 60
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 70
- baseline:
- 40
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
35naive 20
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota.John Breech · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 62
Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 74
Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17.
More division winners
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Daniel DiBerardinis · Division Winners · Atlanta Falcons · Miss 0
Danny D predicts Sonny Styles goes in the top ten (maybe top five), doesn't think Ty Simpson goes before late first round, says Kenyon Sadiq lands with the Rams at 13, and picks the Falcons to win the NFC South while naming the Bengals an AFC bounce-back team. They also give a Final Four of Michigan, Florida, Purdue and Arizona with Michigan winning.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · New York Giants · Miss 0
Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. They also expect Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and they float the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · Los Angeles Chargers · Miss 0
Cowherd unveiled their top 10 NFL teams entering next season, with Seattle first, the Rams second and the Chiefs tenth, and separately picked the Chargers to win the AFC West.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · Baltimore Ravens · Miss 0
Cowherd likes Jacksonville, Chicago and Pittsburgh (with DK Metcalf back) in the wild-card round, ranks the league's head coaches with McVay first and Ben Johnson seventh, and predicts Lamar Jackson has about two strong years left. They also name the Rams as a possible team to draft a receiver and floats next year's draft having seven first-round quarterbacks.Rich Eisen · Division Winners · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. They also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year.