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Noah ComptonOct 20, 2026

Compton argues the Colts' lost season may end with them losing out, handing the Jets a top-five draft pick, and they expect Daniel Jones's time in Indianapolis to be over soon while the team should consider turning to Anthony Richardson.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

Waiting3 calls, none settled yet · 1 too vague to check
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 3Settled2 still waiting · 1 too vague to check
2Waitingnot graded yet · 1 too vague to check

What Noah Compton said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
The future is most important, and although it looks like the 2-4 Colts may lose every remaining game and gift the New York Jets a Top 5 draft selection...
Noah Compton, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Why Colts Should Consider a Change at QB: The Carousel's Last Ride
The original
Read the original
  1. 1New York Jets to pick at number 5“the 2-4 Colts may lose every remaining game and gift the New York Jets a Top 5 draft selection”
  2. 2Season Win Totals“it looks like the 2-4 Colts may lose every remaining game and gift the New York Jets a Top 5 draft selection”
  3. 3Daniel Jones to move — “his days in Indianapolis are numbered”“unless they're planning on him to be their veteran bridge quarterback in 2027, chances are his days are in Indianapolis are just as numbered as Richardson's”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
New York Jets to pick at number 51Team Draft Slot Calls————
“it looks like the 2-4 Colts may lose every remaining game and…”2Season Win Totals————
Daniel Jones to move — “his days in Indianapolis are numbered”3Trade and Signing Calls————
3 calls · 2 waiting · 1 too vague to check——

How each call scored

3 claims — 1 season win total, 1 team draft slot call and 1 trade and signing call — the 2 we can check each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of the 2 calls we can check have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

The other one was too vague to check, so it is not graded.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

New York Jets · 2026 season · overall pick

14 calls from 8 pundits between 1 overall pick and 32 overall pick. Noah Compton said 5 overall pick. the room's median is 10 overall pick. not settled yet

Noah Compton — 5 overall pickthe room — 14 calls from 8 punditsmedian 10 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against the room

overall pick
5They said
10The room (9 pundits)

Their call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.

  1. 1Team Draft Slot CallsNew York Jets

    New York Jets to pick at number 5

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Season Win TotalsIndianapolis Colts

    “it looks like the 2-4 Colts may lose every remaining game and gift the New York Jets a Top 5 draft selection”

    VerdictToo vague to check

    Too vague to check: we could not tell what would count as right, so it stays on the record without a score.

  3. 3Trade and Signing CallsDaniel Jones

    Daniel Jones to move — “his days in Indianapolis are numbered”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.