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Scott BogmanApr 19, 2026

Bogman made 11 first-round mock selections, including David Bailey to the Jets at No. 2, Jeremiah Love to the Giants at 5, and a Jets trade up to 32 for Ty Simpson.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

7 of 11calls landed7 hits · 4 close calls · 1 waiting
80.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 11 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
11 of 12Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Scott Bogman said

I'm taking David Bailey here. They have to pass rush.
Scott Bogman, the lead quote
The episode
FantasyPros - NFL Mock Draft with Trades + The Best Skill Position Sleepers & Fantasy Landing Spots After Round 1 (Ep. 1998)
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidApr 19
  2. GradedOct 1

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Mock Draft Picks7400
Team Draft Slot Calls0001
All7401

How each call scored

12 checkable claims — 11 mock draft picks and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 21 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

11 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 80.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

New York Jets · 2026 season · overall pick

5 calls from 3 pundits between 4 overall pick and 32 overall pick. Scott Bogman said 32 overall pick. the room's median is 7 overall pick. not settled yet

Scott Bogman — 32 overall pickthe room — 5 calls from 3 punditsmedian 7 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
14They said
14What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Mock Draft Picks7 hits · 4 close callsShow ▸
  1. Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14

    “Now I'm big, Iwanye Ione... Megge Yonkay? Look, they need a guard, they need offensive line help.”

    Olaivavega IoaneBaltimore Ravens

    Went 14mocked at 14
    100Hit

    mock order 85.45 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.45 × 1 difficulty = +35.45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.45
    player:
    Olaivavega Ioane
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.45
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Caleb Banks to be picked at number 29

    “go to the defensive line and give the Caleb Banks, the big space clogging nose tackle out of Florida”

    Caleb BanksKansas City Chiefs

    Went 18mocked at 29
    62.09Close

    mock order 85.45 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.45 × 1 difficulty = +35.45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.45
    player:
    Caleb Banks
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    62.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    18
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    62.09
    predicted pick:
    29
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.45
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 11

    “I'm going to give them Jordan Tyson here. You're right, you just take a wide receiver.”

    Jordyn TysonMiami Dolphins

    Went 8mocked at 11
    87.81Hit

    mock order 85.45 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.45 × 1 difficulty = +35.45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.45
    player:
    Jordyn Tyson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.45
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 20

    “I'm gonna give him a Key Messador, the ed thrusher”

    Akheem MesidorDallas Cowboys

    Went 22mocked at 20
    91.7Hit

    mock order 85.45 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.45 × 1 difficulty = +35.45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.45
    player:
    Akheem Mesidor
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    22
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    20
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.45
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Ty Simpson to be picked at number 32

    “How about Ty Simpson, the quarterback out of Alabama... to move one spot here I think would be an easy trade for the Jets to do.”

    Ty SimpsonNew York Jets

    Went 13mocked at 32
    43.91Close

    mock order 85.45 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.45 × 1 difficulty = +35.45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.45
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    43.91
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    43.91
    predicted pick:
    32
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.45
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8

    “So I give the Saints Manster Delane to give them a nice outside presence across from kool Aid”

    Mansoor DelaneNew Orleans Saints

    Went 6mocked at 8
    91.7Hit

    mock order 85.45 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.45 × 1 difficulty = +35.45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.45
    player:
    Mansoor Delane
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.45
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 5

    “let's get Jeremiah Love... Jeremiah Love, to me, is the best player on the board here. And he falls to five because of the position”

    Jeremiyah LoveNew York Giants

    Went 3mocked at 5
    91.7Hit

    mock order 85.45 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.45 × 1 difficulty = +35.45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.45
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.45
    Think this is wrong?
  8. David Bailey to be picked at number 2

    “But Texas Tech defensive end David Bailey... I'm taking David Bailey here.”

    David BaileyNew York Jets

    Went 2mocked at 2
    100Hit

    mock order 85.45 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.45 × 1 difficulty = +35.45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.45
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.45
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17

    “I like Monroe feeling here for the Lions”

    Monroe FreelingDetroit Lions

    Went 19mocked at 17
    91.7Hit

    mock order 85.45 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.45 × 1 difficulty = +35.45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.45
    player:
    Monroe Freeling
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    19
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.45
    Think this is wrong?
  10. T.J. Parker to be picked at number 26

    “but I do think that TJ. Parker is a value at this spot... I think this would be a nice win fall at twenty six for the Bills.”

    T.J. ParkerBuffalo Bills

    Went 35mocked at 26
    67.71Close

    mock order 85.45 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.45 × 1 difficulty = +35.45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.45
    player:
    T.J. Parker
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    67.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    35
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    67.71
    predicted pick:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.45
    Think this is wrong?
  11. Spencer Fano to be picked at number 23

    “Spencer Fano's still here... take the tackle to replace the tackle a year before you need him... that's what I would take him to replace Lane Johnson in the long term.”

    Spencer FanoPhiladelphia Eagles

    Went 9mocked at 23
    54.53Close

    mock order 85.45 − 50 for a shuffle = 35.45 × 1 difficulty = +35.45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.45
    player:
    Spencer Fano
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    54.53
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    54.53
    predicted pick:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.45
    Think this is wrong?
Team Draft Slot Calls1 waitingShow ▸
  1. New York Jets to pick at number 32

    “it looks like Scott Bogman has somehow swung this deal for the Jets to move up to thirty two... you're moving up one spot because they have the number thirty three pick”

    New York Jets

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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