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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 24, 2025

Cowherd's weekly "Blazing Five" slate: they pick the Ravens (their favorite play) to beat the Bears, the Patriots to beat the Browns by ten, a high-scoring Falcons win over Miami, the Texans over the 49ers, and the Broncos over the Cowboys at home. They also say they bet Baltimore to make the playoffs and believes they will.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 6calls landed3 hits · 1 close call · 2 misses · all settled
52.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls
44.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
6 of 6Settlednone still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Lamar Jackson's gonna eat favorite pick of the weekend Ravens minus six. They win twenty eight to twenty one, and it won't feel that close.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
The episode
THE HERD - Hour 2 - New Blazin' 5 picks for the weekend, more on the FBI investigation, Rachel Nichols
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidOct 24, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026
  1. 1Baltimore Ravens 28 — Bears 21“Lamar Jackson's gonna eat favorite pick of the weekend Ravens minus six. They win twenty eight to twenty one, and it won't feel that close.”
  2. 2Denver Broncos 28 — Cowboys 24“So I like Denver to win, and I like Denver to cover the spread. Twenty eight twenty four Broncos win.”
  3. 3Houston Texans 27 — 49ers 23“I think it's a choppie game. I'm gonna take the Texans twenty seven to twenty three.”
  4. 4New England Patriots 28 — Browns 17“I like the Patriots to win by ten, twenty eight to seventeen.”
  5. 5Atlanta Falcons 30 — Dolphins 24“Atlanta's offense at home very good. Take the over forty four and a half points, twenty eight, twenty one thirty twenty four. My bad of Falcons win”
  6. 6Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs“You could get Baltimore plus one ten to make the playoffs plus money. / I did take that. I think they're going to the playoffs.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Baltimore Ravens 28 — Bears 211Score Predictions—83.3371.5+19.06
Denver Broncos 28 — Cowboys 242Score Predictions—61.957.21+7.56
Houston Texans 27 — 49ers 233Score Predictions—83.3378.64+7.56
New England Patriots 28 — Browns 174Score Predictions—80.9559.59+34.39
Atlanta Falcons 30 — Dolphins 245Score Predictions—7.140+11.5
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs6Playoff PicksMissed the playoffs000
6 calls · 3 hits · 1 close call · 2 misses · all settled52.844.5

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

6 checkable claims — 5 score predictions and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 52.8 out of 100, against 44.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens 28 — Bears 21

    VerdictHit
    83.33Hit · naive 71.5
    83.33this call71.5a naive guess11.83better than naive1.61difficulty+19.06skill

    Closing line (Oct 26): Ravens by 2.5, total 45.5 · this 28–21 calls a bigger Ravens win (by 7) and more points (49). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    score:
    16-30
    skill:
    19.06
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    71.5
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    7
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Score PredictionsDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos 28 — Cowboys 24

    VerdictClose
    61.9Close · naive 57.21
    61.9this call57.21a naive guess4.69better than naive1.61difficulty+7.56skill

    Closing line (Oct 26): Broncos by 3.5, total 51.5 · this 28–24 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 4) and more points (52). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    score:
    24-44
    skill:
    7.56
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    61.9
    baseline:
    57.21
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    20
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Score PredictionsHouston Texans

    Houston Texans 27 — 49ers 23

    VerdictHit
    83.33Hit · naive 78.64
    83.33this call78.64a naive guess4.69better than naive1.61difficulty+7.56skill

    Closing line (Oct 26): Texans by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 27–23 calls a bigger Texans win (by 4) and more points (50).

    How this was scored
    score:
    15-26
    skill:
    7.56
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    78.64
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Score PredictionsNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots 28 — Browns 17

    VerdictHit
    80.95Hit · naive 59.59
    80.95this call59.59a naive guess21.36better than naive1.61difficulty+34.39skill

    Closing line (Oct 26): Patriots by 7, total 40.5 · this 28–17 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 11) and more points (45).

    How this was scored
    score:
    13-32
    skill:
    34.39
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    80.95
    baseline:
    59.59
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    19
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    11
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Score PredictionsAtlanta Falcons

    Atlanta Falcons 30 — Dolphins 24

    VerdictMiss
    7.14Miss · naive 0
    7.14this call0a naive guess7.14better than naive1.61difficulty+11.5skill

    Closing line (Oct 26): Falcons by 7, total 44.5 · this 30–24 calls a closer game (Falcons by 6) and more points (54).

    How this was scored
    score:
    34-10
    skill:
    11.5
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    7.14
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    24
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    6
    Think this is wrong?

  6. 6Playoff PicksBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs

    What happenedMissed the playoffs
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.61difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    BAL
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    11
    Think this is wrong?
  7. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once

    52.8naive 44.5

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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