Peter BukowskiMar 2, 2026
Wachowski reviews combine leftovers and Packers roster moves: they expect Arkansas running back Mike Washington Jr. could climb into the top 50 picks, thinks this is likely Josh Jacobs' final season in Green Bay, expects Quay Walker and Emmanuel Wilson to leave, and projects a third-round compensatory pick if Malik Willis signs a big deal elsewhere.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Packers (podcast)Hear the original
What Peter Bukowski said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think there's a good chance this is Josh Jacobs last year as a Green Bay Packer.
- Where it was said
- Locked On Packers (podcast)
- The episode
- PACKERS TYPES: What NFL draft prospects helped, hurt themselves with Green Bay at the NFL combine
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidMar 2
- GradedAug 14–18
- 1Beau Stephens to be picked “third, fourth round” (picks 65–140)“He's a tackle. You let him play center. You move him to center, but you you can get him third, fourth round, tested really well, has the requisite size that you would be looking for.”
- 2Mike Washington to be picked “into the top 50” (picks 1–50)“This is a very shallow running back class which could end up putting Washington, you know, into the top 50 which would put him out of reach for Green Bay.”
- 3Malik Willis to move“It sounds like Malik Willis is going to get paid paid. Like, we could be talking about $30,000,000 a year for Malik Willis”
- 4Quay Walker to move“It seems like Quay Walker is gonna be out of town.”
- 5Emanuel Wilson to move“Maybe the most important for long term development for the Packers is that Emmanuel Wilson is not going to get a restricted free agent tender... And it sounds like they're just gonna let him walk”
- 6Green Bay Packers to pick “third round comp pick” (picks 65–96)“But if Malik Willis makes 30 plus million dollars, then, the Packers are gonna get a a wonderful comp pick out of that. A third round comp pick in all likelihood.”
- 7Josh Jacobs to move to Green Bay Packers“I think there's a good chance this is Josh Jacobs last year as a Green Bay Packer.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Stephens to be picked “third, fourth round” (picks 65–140)1 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 148 | 70.71 | 50 | — | |
| Mike Washington to be picked “into the top 50” (picks 1–50)2 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 122 | 4.42 | 50 | — | |
| Malik Willis to move3 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Quay Walker to move4 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Emanuel Wilson to move5 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Green Bay Packers to pick “third round comp pick” (picks 65–96)6 | Team Draft Slot Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Josh Jacobs to move to Green Bay Packers7 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 7 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · 5 waiting | 37.6 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive7 checkable claims — 4 trade and signing calls, 2 mock draft picks and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 37.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
1Mock Draft PicksBeau Stephens
Beau Stephens to be picked “third, fourth round” (picks 65–140)
What happenedWent 14870.71Close · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Beau Stephens
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 70.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 148
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 70.71
- predicted pick:
- third, fourth round (picks 65–140)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
2Mock Draft PicksMike Washington
Mike Washington to be picked “into the top 50” (picks 1–50)
What happenedWent 1224.42Miss · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Mike Washington
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 4.42
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 122
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 4.42
- predicted pick:
- into the top 50 (picks 1–50)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
3Trade and Signing CallsMalik Willis
Malik Willis to move
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Trade and Signing CallsQuay Walker
Quay Walker to move
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Trade and Signing CallsEmanuel Wilson
Emanuel Wilson to move
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Team Draft Slot CallsGreen Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers to pick “third round comp pick” (picks 65–96)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
7Trade and Signing CallsJosh JacobsGreen Bay Packers
Josh Jacobs to move to Green Bay Packers
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
37.6naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Bill Huber · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite their rib injury. They also sketch the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.Derek Brown · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. They were bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.Danny Parkins · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Parkins named the seven AFC teams they believe are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as their Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.John Middlekauff · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Middlekauff declared the AFC South over and the Jaguars the division champs, while listing several clubs they expect in the playoffs and pegging the Jets for a top-five draft slot. They also leaned Packers and Bears in Week 9 games, predicted roughly five or six wins for Washington, said Brandon Aiyuk is not coming back, and called Tyson Bagent's current deal the biggest they'll ever sign.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.Patricia Traina · Trade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthy · Hit 100
Traina expects defensive tackle to be a top need for the Giants in next year's draft, and suggests the Giants could trade J.J. McCarthy next offseason — or keep both them and Jaxson Dart if the return isn't good enough. They also expect Dart to make a full recovery.Michael David Smith · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Smith suggests the Colts are likely to grant Josh Downs' trade request given their contract situation and their recent sell-off, and that they could also try to trade Keenan Allen.