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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 5, 2025

Eisen delivered their Week 10 power rankings, topped by the Eagles, and reiterated their season picks: the Chiefs winning the Super Bowl and the Lions winning the NFC. They also floated that Baker Mayfield could become the first quarterback to top $60 million per year, and expected the Colts to keep Daniel Jones as their quarterback going forward.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 4calls landed2 hits · 2 misses · all settled
45.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
30.9A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think the Eagles are the best team in football game.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 2: NFL Power Rankings, Colts’ Jones Plans, plus Chargers S Derwin James
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidNov 5, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–17, 2026
  1. 1Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl“The Lions are still really damn good. Again, I have them winning the NFC. And that's your Super Bowl.”
  2. 2Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl“Plus, I have them winning the Super Bowl this year, and I'm not dropping them out of my power rankings just because of this.”
  3. 3Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart“clearly, they they have to think Daniel Jones is their quarterback moving forward... It is Daniel Jones.”
  4. 4Power Rankings“My week 10 power rankings presented by Sonos... Number nine on this list, I knocked them down all the way from one. The lions... Number eight, down five spots are the Packers... Number seven, down five spots are the Indianapolis Colts... I moved them up three spots to six [Bills]... Number five, new to the list [Seahawks]... The New England Patriots are four... Number three... the Broncos... Up five spots. I'm putting the Rams here... And then number one... the Eagles”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl1Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won000
Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl2Super Bowl PicksSEA won it000
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart3Depth Chart CallsNo. 11001000
“My week 10 power rankings presented by Sonos... Number nine on…”4Power Rankings—83.0323.64+89.09
4 calls · 2 hits · 2 misses · all settled45.830.9

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 1 conference champion, 1 depth chart call, 1 power ranking and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 45.8 out of 100, against 30.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Conference ChampionsDetroit Lions

    Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked DET
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.5difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    1.5
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Super Bowl PicksKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedSEA won itpicked KC
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.5difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Depth Chart CallsDaniel JonesIndianapolis Colts

    Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.5difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    IND
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Daniel Jones
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    1.5
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    9
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Power Rankings

    “My week 10 power rankings presented by Sonos... Number nine on this list, I knocked them down all the way from one. The lions... Number eight, down five spots are the Packers... Number seven, down five spots are the Indianapolis Colts... I moved them up three spots to six [Bills]... Number five, new to the list [Seahawks]... The New England Patriots are four... Number three... the Broncos... Up five spots. I'm putting the Rams here... And then number one... the Eagles”

    VerdictHit
    83.03Hit · naive 23.64
    83.03this call23.64a naive guess59.39better than naive1.5difficulty+89.09skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    89.09
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    83.03
    baseline:
    23.64
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    9
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    45.8naive 30.9

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.