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Ralph VacchianoSep 11, 2026

Vacchiano ranks the seven NFL head coaches they believe are on the hottest seats entering Week 1 of 2026, with Dan Quinn most at risk and Nick Sirianni least. They also expect the Jets to take a quarterback early in the 2027 draft and start another rebuild with a new coach.

Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original

Waiting2 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 2Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Ralph Vacchiano said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
The Jets are prime candidates to select a QB early in the 2027 draft and reboot their continuously looping rebuild with a new coach as well.
Ralph Vacchiano, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Fox Sports
The piece
NFL Coaching Hot Seat Rankings: Who's Feeling The Most Heat Before Week 1?
The original
Read the original
  1. 1New York Jets to pick “select a QB early in the 2027 draft”“The Jets are prime candidates to select a QB early in the 2027 draft and reboot their continuously looping rebuild with a new coach as well.”
  2. 2Head Coach Rankings“Here's a look at whose seats are currently the hottest. 7. Nick Sirianni, Philadelphia Eagles ... 6. Dave Canales, Carolina Panthers ... 5. Shane Steichen, Indianapolis Colts ... 4. Todd Bowles, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ... 3. Aaron Glenn, New York Jets ... 2. Zac Taylor, Cincinnati Bengals ... 1. Dan Quinn, Washington Commanders”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
New York Jets to pick “select a QB early in the 2027 draft”1Team Draft Slot Calls————
“Here's a look at whose seats are currently the hottest. 7. Nick…”2Head Coach Rankings————
2 calls · 2 waiting——

How each call scored

2 checkable claims — 1 head coach ranking and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Team Draft Slot CallsNew York Jets

    New York Jets to pick “select a QB early in the 2027 draft”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Head Coach Rankings

    “Here's a look at whose seats are currently the hottest. 7. Nick Sirianni, Philadelphia Eagles ... 6. Dave Canales, Carolina Panthers ... 5. Shane Steichen, Indianapolis Colts ... 4. Todd Bowles, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ... 3. Aaron Glenn, New York Jets ... 2. Zac Taylor, Cincinnati Bengals ... 1. Dan Quinn, Washington Commanders”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More head coach rankings

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.