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Steve PalazzoloOct 29, 2026

Palazzolo says the Steelers won't be swept at home by the Browns, predicts Buffalo rallies to beat Baltimore 34-27 after trailing, and takes Dallas and the Rams to win their games. They also expect Tennessee to end up with a top-five-to-seven draft pick while the Bears pick 25th or later.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Check the Mic (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 4calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · 2 waiting
63.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
62.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4Games calledeveryone’s picks below
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Steve Palazzolo said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I don't see the Steelers getting swept by the Browns and losing at home.
Steve Palazzolo, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Check the Mic (podcast)
The episode
NFL Week 8 Preview & Picks: EVERY GAME!
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidOct 29
  2. PlayedNov 1
  3. GradedNov 1–2
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers“I got the Rams winning and covering.”
  2. 2Buffalo Bills 34 — Ravens 27“I'm gonna say it's 21 to 10 in the third quarter, and then the Bills win, like, thirty four twenty seven or something like that”
  3. 3Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Browns“They're at home. I don't see the Steelers getting swept by the Browns and losing at home.”
  4. 4Dallas Cowboys to beat Cardinals“Gonna go with Dallas to win and cover.”
  5. 5Chicago Bears to pick “25 or later”“because the bears are probably picking, you know, 25 or later here”
  6. 6Tennessee Titans to pick “top five to seven pick” (picks 1–5)“It it might free Tennessee up because they're probably gonna have a top five to seven pick here.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers1Game Outcome PicksRams 24–91001000
Buffalo Bills 34 — Ravens 272Score PredictionsBills 36–1054.7650+7.67
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Browns3Game Outcome PicksSteelers 27–61001000
Dallas Cowboys to beat Cardinals4Game Outcome PicksCardinals 33–30000
Chicago Bears to pick “25 or later”5Team Draft Slot Calls————
Tennessee Titans to pick “top five to seven pick” (picks 1–5)6Team Draft Slot Calls————
6 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · 2 waiting63.762.5

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

6 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 2 team draft slot calls and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 63.7 out of 100, against 62.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Chargers

    What happenedRams 24–9Chargers at Rams
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.61difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Nov 1): Rams by 6.5 · favorite pick, Rams 71%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    9-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Score PredictionsBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills 34 — Ravens 27

    What happenedBills 36–10called Bills by 7 · won by 26
    54.76Close · naive 50
    54.76this call50a naive guess4.76better than naive1.61difficulty+7.67skill

    Closing line (Nov 1): Bills by 3, total 54.5 · this 34–27 calls a bigger Bills win (by 7) and more points (61).

    How this was scored
    score:
    10-36
    skill:
    7.67
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    54.76
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    7
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Browns

    What happenedSteelers 27–6Browns at Steelers
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.61difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Nov 1): Steelers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 64%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    6-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Game Outcome PicksDallas Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys to beat Cardinals

    What happenedCardinals 33–30Cardinals at Cowboys
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.61difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Nov 1): Cowboys by 7 · favorite pick, Cowboys about 3 in 4 (74%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    ARI
    score:
    33-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Team Draft Slot CallsChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to pick “25 or later”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  6. 6Team Draft Slot CallsTennessee Titans

    Tennessee Titans to pick “top five to seven pick” (picks 1–5)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  7. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    63.7naive 62.5

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

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Others on the same people

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