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Brian Peacock#29 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 26, 2026

Peacock expects Elijah Sarat to be a second-round pick at best, and possibly a third- or fourth-rounder.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On 49ers (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Went 115What happenedsettled
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#29Brian Peacock’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Brian Peacock said

I think he's a a second round pick at best. He might go third or fourth round
Our reading: Elijah Sarratt to be picked “a second round pick at best. He might go third or fourth round” (picks 33–140)
Where it was said
Locked On 49ers (podcast)
The episode
NFL Draft WR Rankings // San Francisco 49ers OL vs WR Need
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidMar 26
  2. GradedAug 18

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
a second round pick at best. He might go third or fourth round (picks 33–140)They said
115What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Mock Draft PicksElijah Sarratt

    Elijah Sarratt to be picked “a second round pick at best. He might go third or fourth round” (picks 33–140)

    What happenedWent 115
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Elijah Sarratt
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    115
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    a second round pick at best. He might go third or fourth round (picks 33–140)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

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