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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 17, 2025

Rich Eisen delivered their Week 16 NFL power rankings, keeping the Rams at No. 1 with the Broncos second and the Bears holding at 10, and also predicted James Cook wins the rushing title while expecting the Bears and Rams to win their upcoming home games.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

4 of 4calls landed4 hits · all settled
95.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
60.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
James Cook is gonna win the rushing title.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 3: NFL Power Rankings, plus Gary Cole Talks ‘Office Space,’ ‘Talladega Nights’ and More
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidDec 17, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026
  1. 1Power Rankings“My week 16 power rankings presented by Sonos... I'm keeping the bears here at ten... And the Packers are down four spots to nine... Number eight, up one spot, I'm putting the Jacksonville Jaguars eighth... Number seven on the list though, up one spot, I'm putting the Texans... Number six, up one spot, the niners are here... Number five, down three spots. I'm keeping the Pats in my top five... Number four on the list, up two spots are the Buffalo Bills... Up one spot to three of the Seahawks... Up one spot of the Broncos at two... but I'm keeping the Rams at one.”
  2. 2James Cook to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards“James Cook is gonna win the rushing title.”
  3. 3Los Angeles Rams to beat Lions“the no change with the Rams being taking care of the lines at home”
  4. 4Chicago Bears to beat Cleveland Browns“the no changes with the Bears at home against the Cleveland Browns in the cold”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
“My week 16 power rankings presented by Sonos... I'm keeping the…”1Power Rankings—83.0341.21+48.93
James Cook to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards2Positional FinishesFinished #11000+117
Los Angeles Rams to beat Lions3Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Chicago Bears to beat Cleveland Browns4Game Outcome Picks—1001000
4 calls · 4 hits · all settled95.860.3

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks, 1 positional finish and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 95.8 out of 100, against 60.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Power Rankings

    “My week 16 power rankings presented by Sonos... I'm keeping the bears here at ten... And the Packers are down four spots to nine... Number eight, up one spot, I'm putting the Jacksonville Jaguars eighth... Number seven on the list though, up one spot, I'm putting the Texans... Number six, up one spot, the niners are here... Number five, down three spots. I'm keeping the Pats in my top five... Number four on the list, up two spots are the Buffalo Bills... Up one spot to three of the Seahawks... Up one spot of the Broncos at two... but I'm keeping the Rams at one.”

    VerdictHit
    83.03Hit · naive 41.21
    83.03this call41.21a naive guess41.82better than naive1.17difficulty+48.93skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    48.93
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    83.03
    baseline:
    41.21
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    3
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Positional FinishesJames CookBuffalo Bills

    James Cook to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards

    What happenedFinished #1called #1 · by rushing yards
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.17difficulty+117skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    117
    player:
    James Cook
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    RB
    ranked by:
    rushing yards
    difficulty:
    1.17
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    16
    actual finish:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    3
    predicted finish:
    1
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Lions

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.17difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    34-41
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    3
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to beat Cleveland Browns

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.17difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CHI
    score:
    3-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CHI
    difficulty:
    1.17
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    3
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    95.8naive 60.3

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