Evan TarraccianoAug 14, 2026
Tarracciano names four wide receivers to avoid at their current draft prices for 2026: Tetairoa McMillan (WR17 ECR), Garrett Wilson (WR20), Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR31) and DK Metcalf, arguing each faces increased target competition and poor quarterback play.
Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original
What Evan Tarracciano said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromSo, who are this season's wide receivers to avoid at their current average draft position (ADP)?
- Where it was published
- FantasyPros
- The piece
- 4 Fantasy Football Busts to Avoid: Wide Receivers (2026)
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
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- 1Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (WR17 in expert consensus rankings (ECR))“McMillan is currently ranked as the WR17 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), and I feel that managers are paying a premium for a player with many surrounding question marks.”
- 2Marvin Harrison Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (A WR31 ranking)“Dramatically increased competition for targets seriously caps any comeback effort for Harrison... A WR31 ranking is a steep price to pay with so much uncertainty swirling around.”
- 3Garrett Wilson to fall short of his draft cost (the WR20 overall)“Call me skeptical that the Jets' offense can find a way to return any sort of value on Wilson, given his current price tag as the WR20 overall.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (WR17 in expert consensus rankings (ECR))1 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (A WR31 ranking)2 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Garrett Wilson to fall short of his draft cost (the WR20 overall)3 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 3 calls · 3 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
3 checkable claims — 3 fantasy bust calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Fantasy Bust CallsTetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers
Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (WR17 in expert consensus rankings (ECR))
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Fantasy Bust CallsMarvin Harrison Jr.Arizona Cardinals
Marvin Harrison Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (A WR31 ranking)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Fantasy Bust CallsGarrett WilsonNew York Jets
Garrett Wilson to fall short of his draft cost (the WR20 overall)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Aaron Rodgers · Miss 0
Eisen ranked their top five most impressive Pro Bowl campaigns of the season, topped by Sam Darnold, and predicted that Sunday would be Aaron Rodgers' last game with the Jets.Nick Wright · Game Outcome Picks · Carolina Panthers · Miss 0
Wright made several outright game calls for Week 9 alongside their spread picks: Kansas City beating the Jets 31-20, Detroit winning at Miami, New England edging Green Bay by a field goal or so, Carolina winning outright over Denver, and Houston blowing out the Chargers 27-12.Mitchell Eisenstein · Score Predictions · Carolina Panthers · Close 43
Mitchell gave their Week 9 top-five power rankings, keeping Buffalo first and the 49ers second while elevating the Bears, Jaguars and Lions, and picked a slate of Week 9 games including a Packers win in New England, a Panthers upset of Denver, and blowouts for Detroit, Kansas City and Houston. They also tabbed Jonah Coleman as a late-season Offensive Rookie of the Year pick.Cody Rourke · Game Outcome Picks · Carolina Panthers · Miss 0
Rourke predicts the Broncos finish 13-4 in 2026, going 4-2 over a brutal opening six games, sweeping Kansas City again, and losing only at San Francisco, at home to Seattle, at Carolina and on Christmas Day to Buffalo. They also expect Carolina to return to the playoffs.
More fantasy bust calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Derek Brown · Fantasy Bust Calls · Zay Flowers · Miss 0
Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.Chris Welsh · Fantasy Bust Calls · Austin Ekeler · Hit 100
Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.Joe Pisapia · Fantasy Bust Calls · Rashee Rice · Miss 0
Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.Pat Fitzmaurice · Fantasy Bust Calls · Tyreek Hill · Hit 100
Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.