Gene ChamberlainOct 3, 2026
Chamberlain picks the Bears to beat the Jets at home in Week 4, forecasting a 30-20 Chicago win on the strength of their running game, passing matchup advantages and Ben Johnson's coaching.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Gene Chamberlain said
Gene Chamberlain's pick: Bears 30, Jets 20
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- Chicago Bears and New York Jets: Who Wins and Why for Week 4
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 3
- PlayedOct 4
- GradedOct 5
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 97.6 out of 100, against 76.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Score PredictionsChicago Bears
Chicago Bears 30 — Jets 20
What happenedBears 23–12called Bears by 10 · won by 1197.62Hit · naive 76.1997.62this call−76.19a naive guess=21.43better than naive×1.83difficulty=+39.21skillClosing line (Oct 4): Bears by 3.5, total 43.5 · this 30–20 calls a bigger Bears win (by 10) and more points (50).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 12-23
- skill:
- 39.21
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 97.62
- baseline:
- 76.19
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- naive home margin:
- 1
- predicted margin:
- 10
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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