Jeremy WhiteMay 4, 2026

Jeremy White expects the Patriots to acquire AJ Brown, calling the trade likely inevitable within about a month.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Bills (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100

Trade and Signing CallsThe callsettled

0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

100This callout of 100

+200Skillafter difficulty

What Jeremy White said

Let's all also resist the urge in about one month to give the patriots this massive boost for the AJ Brown trade that is likely inevitable.

Our reading: A.J. Brown to move to New England Patriots

Where it was said: Locked On Bills (podcast)
The episode: BILLS SQUAD SHOW: Bills SENDING MESSAGE with IGB pick? Is it depth or...
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidMay 4
GradedSep 18

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Trade and Signing Calls A.J. Brown New England Patriots
A.J. Brown to move to New England Patriots
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
player:
A.J. Brown
season:
2026
claimed:
NE
was with:
PHI
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
reported:
traded → NE (from PHI)
settled by:
a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

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