Shannon Sharpe#42 of 87 NFL pundits · May 27, 2025
Sharpe said the rookie running back's stated goal of 1,500 rushing yards is realistic and very doable, but doubted 20 touchdowns, putting them closer to 10-12 rushing scores.
Said on air or in an interview · Nightcap (podcast)Hear the original
What Shannon Sharpe said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think fifteen hundred yards is realistic.
- Where it was said
- Nightcap (podcast)
- The episode
- Nightcap - Hour 2: Kirk Cousins to Steelers? + Ashton Jeanty's Rookie Prediction
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidMay 27, 2025
- GradedAug 6, 2026
- 1Ashton Jeanty to record 10 rushing tds“I say ten twelve touchdowns, but twenty, man, bro, that's a lot of tubs”
- 2Ashton Jeanty to record 1,500 rushing yards“So I do think fifteen hundred yards might be possible, but be very doable... I think fifteen hundred yards is realistic.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty to record 10 rushing tds1 | Player Season Numbers | 5 | 0 | 85.37 | −170.73 | |
| Ashton Jeanty to record 1,500 rushing yards2 | Player Season Numbers | 975 | 30 | 0 | +60 | |
| 2 calls · 2 misses · all settled | 15 | 42.7 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive2 checkable claims — 2 player season numbers — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
All 2 have settled, averaging 15 out of 100, against 42.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
rushing tdsTheir call against what actually happened.
1Player Season NumbersAshton Jeanty
Ashton Jeanty to record 10 rushing tds
What happened5called 100Miss · naive 85.370this call−85.37a naive guess=−85.37worse than naive×2difficulty=−170.73skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- 4.63
- skill:
- −170.73
- what happened:
- 5
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 85.37
- they said:
- 10
- statistic:
- rushing_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- no prior season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 4.63
- zero at percent out:
- 50
2Player Season NumbersAshton Jeanty
Ashton Jeanty to record 1,500 rushing yards
What happened975called 1,50030Miss · naive 030this call−0a naive guess=30better than naive×2difficulty=+60skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- 378.78
- skill:
- 60
- what happened:
- 975
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 30
- baseline:
- 0
- they said:
- 1500
- statistic:
- rushing_yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- no prior season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 378.78
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
15naive 42.7
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Kyle Crabbs · Mock Draft Picks · Ashton Jeanty · Hit 96
In their final 2025 NFL mock draft, Crabbs projects all 32 first-round picks, starting with Cam Ward to the Titans at No. 1 and Travis Hunter to the Browns at No. 2, and including projected trades involving the Bears/Jaguars and a Giants move back into the late first round for Jaxson Dart.Colin Cowherd · Mock Draft Picks · Ashton Jeanty · Hit 100
Cowherd delivered their own top-15 draft board — what they would do as GM of each team — pairing prospects with picks 1 through 15, and separately argued Shedeur Sanders is a far better prospect than Daniel Jones and that Aaron Rodgers should retire.Mel Kiper · Mock Draft Picks · Ashton Jeanty · Hit 100
Kiper's mock draft 4.0, as read out on the show, has Cam Ward going No. 1, Travis Hunter No. 2 to Cleveland, Shedeur Sanders sliding to No. 9 to New Orleans, and a full first round plus second-round picks including a Bears haul of Tyler Warren, Walter Nolen and TreVeyon Henderson.Nick Baumgardner · Mock Draft Picks · Ashton Jeanty · Hit 100
The Athletic's draft analyst laid out a full slate of expectations for the upcoming NFL Draft: Abdul Carter to Tennessee at No. 1, Shedeur Sanders falling to the back half of the first or top of the second, Ashton Jeanty as a top-10 pick, Travis Hunter as the class's best player going in the top five, and only two quarterbacks plus fewer than three running backs but more than three receivers taken in Round 1.
More player season numbers
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Andrew Erickson · Player Season Numbers · James Cook · Close 67
Erickson is targeting Chase Brown, Javonte Williams, Trey Benson, Ray Davis, MarShawn Lloyd, Will Shipley, Braelon Allen and Rishard Smith while fading Tyrone Tracy, Tank Bigsby and Kyren Williams, and they expect James Cook's touchdown total to settle in the eight-to-ten range.Ross Jackson · Player Season Numbers · Tyler Shough · Miss 4
Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.Chris Broussard · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 92
Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. They also take the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record.Nick Wright · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 100
Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record.Nick Wright · Player Season Numbers · Myles Garrett · Hit 84
Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among their weekly picks they expect the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee.Rich Eisen · Player Season Numbers · Micah Parsons · Close 56
Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. They also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record.