Ethan HurwitzOct 18, 2026
Previewing the Week 6 meeting at Gillette Stadium, they say the Patriots should beat the Jets, with a healthier receiving corps and backfield boosting New England's offense.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Ethan Hurwitz said
This is a game that the Patriots should win.
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- 3 Major Storylines in Patriots Matchup vs. Jets: Key Offensive Stars Healthy
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 18
- PlayedOct 18
- GradedOct 18
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Game Outcome PicksNew England Patriots
New England Patriots to beat New York Jets
What happenedPatriots 26–19Jets at Patriots100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.72difficulty=0skillClosing line (Oct 18): Patriots by 7.5 · favorite pick, Patriots about 3 in 4 (74%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 19-26
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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