David Harrison#57 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 8, 2026
In their first mock draft of the offseason (built on two hypothetical trades), Harrison has Washington selecting Caleb Banks at No. 16, Brandon Cisse at No. 33, Tanner Koziol at No. 145 and Kaylon Black at No. 223, with Banks immediately becoming the team's top defensive tackle. They also expect Washington to move on from Marshawn Lattimore and to bring back Chris Rodriguez Jr., and says their money on the Super Bowl was on Seattle.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast)Hear the original
What David Harrison said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromPick number 16, we're taking Caleb Banks, defensive lineman, out of Florida, number 33. We're taking Brandon Cisse, cornerback, South Carolina.
- Where it was said
- Locked On Commanders (podcast)
- The episode
- MOCK DRAFT: Commanders Upgrade with Maxx Crosby, Caleb Banks—Will This BOLD Move Transform D-Line?
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidFeb 8
- GradedAug 14
- 1Caleb Banks to be picked at number 16“Pick number 16, we're taking Caleb Banks, defensive lineman, out of Florida”
- 2Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 33“number 33. We're taking Brandon Cisse, cornerback, South Carolina.”
- 3Tanner Koziol to be picked at number 145“one forty five Tanner Cozio, tight end out of Houston”
- 4Kaelon Black to be picked at number 223“Pick number two twenty three. Kaylon Black running back out of Indiana.”
- 5Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl“If my, money is good, then it's the Seattle Seahawks. Congrats to the Seahawks.”
- 6Chris Rodriguez Jr. to move to Washington Commanders“Chris Rodriguez junior is a restricted free agent. We do expect the commanders to bring him back”
- 7Marshon Lattimore to move to Washington Commanders“we do expect the Washington commanders to move on from cornerback Marshawn Lattimore”
- 8Caleb Banks to be 1st on the depth chart“On the depth chart, he immediately steps in, and he is the top defensive tackle on this roster.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Banks to be picked at number 161 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 18 | 91.7 | 50 | +40 | |
| Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 332 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 52 | 43.91 | 50 | +40 | |
| Tanner Koziol to be picked at number 1453 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 164 | 43.91 | 50 | +40 | |
| Kaelon Black to be picked at number 2234 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 90 | 0.31 | 50 | +40 | |
| Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl5 | Super Bowl Picks | SEA won it | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. to move to Washington Commanders6 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Marshon Lattimore to move to Washington Commanders7 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Caleb Banks to be 1st on the depth chart8 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 8 calls · 2 hits · 2 close calls · 1 miss · 3 waiting | 56 | 40 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive8 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks, 2 trade and signing calls, 1 depth chart call and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
5 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 56 out of 100, against 40 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
1Mock Draft PicksCaleb BanksWashington Commanders
Caleb Banks to be picked at number 16
What happenedWent 18mocked at 1691.7Hit · naive 5090this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=40better than naive×1difficulty=+40skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 40
- player:
- Caleb Banks
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 18
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 16
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 90
2Mock Draft PicksBrandon CisseWashington Commanders
Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 33
What happenedWent 52mocked at 3343.91Close · naive 5090this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=40better than naive×1difficulty=+40skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 40
- player:
- Brandon Cisse
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 43.91
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 52
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 43.91
- predicted pick:
- 33
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 90
3Mock Draft PicksTanner KoziolWashington Commanders
Tanner Koziol to be picked at number 145
What happenedWent 164mocked at 14543.91Close · naive 5090this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=40better than naive×1difficulty=+40skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 40
- player:
- Tanner Koziol
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 43.91
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 164
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 43.91
- predicted pick:
- 145
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 90
4Mock Draft PicksKaelon BlackWashington Commanders
Kaelon Black to be picked at number 223
What happenedWent 90mocked at 2230.31Miss · naive 5090this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=40better than naive×1difficulty=+40skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 40
- player:
- Kaelon Black
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.31
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 90
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.31
- predicted pick:
- 223
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 90
5Super Bowl PicksSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
What happenedSEA won itpicked SEA100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
6Trade and Signing CallsChris Rodriguez Jr.Washington Commanders
Chris Rodriguez Jr. to move to Washington Commanders
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
7Trade and Signing CallsMarshon LattimoreWashington Commanders
Marshon Lattimore to move to Washington Commanders
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
8Depth Chart CallsCaleb BanksWashington Commanders
Caleb Banks to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once
56naive 40
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Gilberto Manzano · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Manzano picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Browns, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.