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Darren SmithOct 8, 2026

Smith is adamant Tyreek Hill will sign with Kansas City despite the court case, and predicts the awards shake out with Patrick Mahomes taking MVP (and Comeback Player of the Year) while Kenneth Walker is named Offensive Player of the Year.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Chiefs (podcast)Hear the original

Waiting4 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 4Settled4 still waiting
4Waitingnot graded yet

What Darren Smith said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I'm telling you he's gonna be here. I've told you that months ago, he's going to be here.
Darren Smith, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
CHIEFS SQUAD SHOW: Ranking Kansas City’s BIGGEST Bye Week PRIORITIES; Can Kenneth Walker Win MVP?!
The original
Hear the original
  1. 1Tyreek Hill to move to Kansas City Chiefs“Whether it happens, I'm not quite sure it happened this week, but I do believe I I am positive it is gonna happen... I'm telling you he's gonna be here.”
  2. 2Kenneth Walker III to win Offensive Player of the Year“I I see as of right now, no reason why, Kenneth Walker wouldn't be the offensive player of the year.”
  3. 3Patrick Mahomes to win MVP“that would give them the the excuse, so to speak, to give Mahomes the MVP if they can have the number one seed going into the playoffs... story line wise, they would give the MVP to Patrick [Mahomes]”
  4. 4Patrick Mahomes to win Comeback Player of the Year“Not not only would it be come back for the year, but also MVP just because it's more of a quarterback driven.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tyreek Hill to move to Kansas City Chiefs1Trade and Signing Calls————
Kenneth Walker III to win Offensive Player of the Year2Award Picks————
Patrick Mahomes to win MVP3Award Picks————
Patrick Mahomes to win Comeback Player of the Year4Award Picks————
4 calls · 4 waiting——

How each call scored

4 checkable claims — 3 award picks and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsTyreek HillKansas City Chiefs

    Tyreek Hill to move to Kansas City Chiefs

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Award PicksKenneth Walker IIIKansas City Chiefs

    Kenneth Walker III to win Offensive Player of the Year

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Award PicksPatrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs

    Patrick Mahomes to win Comeback Player of the Year

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.