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Mike MayockApr 8, 2025

As relayed on the show, Mayock said Shedeur Sanders will slide out of the top 10 and had Jalen Walker going to Carolina.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 1 waiting
0.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Mike Mayock said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Mayock said that Chador would drop out of the top 10
Mike Mayock, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Top 5 Teams That Should Trade Into The Top 5 In The NFL Draft
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 8, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026
  1. 1Shedeur Sanders to be picked “drop out of the top 10” (picks 1–10)“Bottom line, though, is Mayock said that Chador would drop out of the top 10”
  2. 2Jalon Walker to be picked at a slot they never named“Jalen Walker, who Mayock has, as he says, at a better grade than Abdul Carter, would go to Carolina, which is what Mayock said yesterday.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “drop out of the top 10” (picks 1–10)1Mock Draft PicksWent 1440.350—
Jalon Walker to be picked at a slot they never named2Mock Draft Picks————
2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting0.350

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
drop out of the top 10 (picks 1–10)They said
144What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksShedeur Sanders

    Shedeur Sanders to be picked “drop out of the top 10” (picks 1–10)

    What happenedWent 144
    0.3Miss · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    0.3
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    144
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0.3
    predicted pick:
    drop out of the top 10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksJalon WalkerCarolina Panthers

    Jalon Walker to be picked at a slot they never named

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.