Cynthia Frelund#45 of 87 NFL pundits · Jul 22, 2025

Frelund presented their top-10 fantasy quarterback rankings for the season, headed by Josh Allen with Joe Burrow second, and added Jared Goff at No. 11. They also predicted 11 wins for the 49ers, that Burrow leads the league in passing touchdowns (possibly up to 50), and expects improvement/surprises from the Raiders and Patriots.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 4calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · 2 misses · 2 waiting

33.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls

18.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

4 of 6Settled2 still waiting

#45Cynthia Frelund’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Cynthia Frelund said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

This guy is number one last season, He'll be number one next season until he's not the rushing plus passing capabilities of Josh Allen.

Cynthia Frelund, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode: GMFB Tuesday Hour 1: Dallas Cowboys Expectations, Micah Parsons contract? Top-10 Fantasy Football QB's
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidJul 22, 2025
GradedAug 5, 2026

1Fantasy Rankings“At number ten, we've got Rock Purty... At number nine... It's Baker Mayfield... At number eight, we got our sophomore bow Nicks... At number seven, it's Kyler Murray... at number six, Patrick Mahomes... number five. Jayden Daniels... Lamar Jackson comes in at number four... At number three, Tush push still there... Jalen Hurts... So Joe Burrow... and at number one... Josh Allen... Jared Goff's eleven.”
2Joe Burrow to record 50 passing tds“So it could get up to fifty this year.”
3Joe Burrow to finish top 1 at his position, by passing tds“This is a guy who I project to lead the league in passing touchdowns and it's not even close.”
4San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11 wins“I had the forty nine ers with at least double digit wins, probably eleven. That's the number.”
5Las Vegas Raiders to beat expectations“I think we're going to see a Raiders team that is much, much, much improved, very quickly because of the impact of getting the right voices in there”
6New England Patriots to beat expectations“I want to know who the Patriots are. I think that's a team that could really be a really big problem. I don't think they supplant the Bills, but there's other teams in that division that they could surprise and sneak up on.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
“At number ten, we've got Rock Purty... At number nine... It's…”¹	Fantasy Rankings	—	55	50	+10
Joe Burrow to record 50 passing tds²	Player Season Numbers	17	0	20.05	−40.1
Joe Burrow to finish top 1 at his position, by passing tds³	Positional Finishes	Finished #24	0	0	0
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11 wins⁴	Season Win Totals	12	80	5	+150
Las Vegas Raiders to beat expectations⁵	Surprise Team Calls	—	—	—	—
New England Patriots to beat expectations⁶	Surprise Team Calls	—	—	—	—
6 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 2 misses · 2 waiting			33.8	18.8

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

6 checkable claims — 2 surprise team calls, 1 fantasy ranking, 1 player season number, 1 positional finish and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 33.8 out of 100, against 18.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Fantasy Rankings
“At number ten, we've got Rock Purty... At number nine... It's Baker Mayfield... At number eight, we got our sophomore bow Nicks... At number seven, it's Kyler Murray... at number six, Patrick Mahomes... number five. Jayden Daniels... Lamar Jackson comes in at number four... At number three, Tush push still there... Jalen Hurts... So Joe Burrow... and at number one... Josh Allen... Jared Goff's eleven.”
VerdictClose
55Close · naive 50
55this call50a naive guess5better than naive2difficulty+10skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:
10
placed:
11
season:
2025
players:
11
accuracy:
55
baseline:
50
by position:
QB 11: 55
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
0
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
2Player Season Numbers Joe Burrow Cincinnati Bengals
Joe Burrow to record 50 passing tds
What happened17called 50
0Miss · naive 20.05
0this call20.05a naive guess−20.05worse than naive2difficulty−40.1skill
How this was scored
naive:
28.32
skill:
−40.1
what happened:
17
player:
Joe Burrow
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
20.05
they said:
50
statistic:
passing_tds
difficulty:
2
last season:
43
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
13.64
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
3Positional Finishes Joe Burrow Cincinnati Bengals
Joe Burrow to finish top 1 at his position, by passing tds
What happenedFinished #24called #1 · by passing tds
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Joe Burrow
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
position:
QB
ranked by:
passing tds
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
1
actual finish:
24
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
1
Think this is wrong?
4Season Win Totals San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11 wins
What happened12called 11
80Hit · naive 5
80this call5a naive guess75better than naive2difficulty+150skill
How this was scored
team:
SF
naive:
7.25
skill:
150
what happened:
12
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
5
they said:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
5Surprise Team Calls Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders to beat expectations
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
6Surprise Team Calls New England Patriots
New England Patriots to beat expectations
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
33.8naive 18.8

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Parker Hurley · Roster Spot Calls · Khalid Kareem · Miss 0
Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · San Francisco 49ers · Hit 83
Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
Pat Fitzmaurice · Score Predictions · New England Patriots · Miss 14
Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said they would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11.
Kevin Wildes · Game Outcome Picks · New England Patriots · Miss 0
Wildes took Minnesota over Buffalo, predicted a comfortable roughly 10-point New England win over Green Bay, and switched their Super Bowl matchup to Jaguars–Bears.
Nick Wright · Game Outcome Picks · New England Patriots · Miss 0
Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. They also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated their Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers.
Eric Mangini · Game Outcome Picks · New England Patriots · Miss 0
Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as their upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated their Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals.

More surprise team calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Nick Wright · Surprise Team Calls · Houston Texans · Waiting
Wright expects the 49ers to handle Dallas, the Lions to beat New England, the Packers to beat Minnesota and the Chiefs to win in Atlanta, while naming the Texans again as the league's second-half surge team, picking Joe Burrow for MVP and saying Kansas City still makes the playoffs.
Dan Orlovsky · Surprise Team Calls · Houston Texans · Waiting
Named Houston and Detroit as the underrated teams in each conference, said the Texans could reach 11-6 and the playoffs, and predicted CJ Stroud's next contract will start with a seven annually, with Caleb Williams getting even more afterward.
Bill Simmons · Surprise Team Calls · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Waiting
Simmons named the Houston Texans as the AFC's second-half surge team and, reluctantly, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the NFC's, arguing both clubs sitting at or below.500 will make a run down the stretch.
Danny Kelly · Surprise Team Calls · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Waiting
Kelly argued the Buccaneers are the one NFC South club capable of a second-half surge, citing a soft remaining schedule and the league's top defensive EPA.
Logan Lazarczyk · Surprise Team Calls · Houston Texans · Waiting
Lazarczyk argues the Raiders can still contend for the AFC's final wild-card spot, naming the Bills, Broncos, Jaguars, Steelers, Chiefs and Bengals as locks for the top six seeds, calling Houston a sleeper, and predicting Las Vegas can beat the Chargers, Titans and Cardinals down the stretch.
Jordan Dajani · Surprise Team Calls · Pittsburgh Steelers · Waiting
Halfway through the season, Dajani sorts the playoff field into contenders and pretenders: they suggest Joe Burrow could win MVP this year, and while they dismiss Pittsburgh as a true Super Bowl threat, they expect the Steelers to be a playoff team and a possible sleeper.