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Pat Fitzmaurice#8 of 87 NFL pundits · Jul 17, 2025

Fitzmorris names Bears RB Roschon Johnson a deep sleeper, arguing the rebuilt interior offensive line and Ben Johnson's scheme could make them a David Montgomery-style goal-line back. They also like Browns rookie Dylan Sampson as a late-round talent bet and Panthers WR Jalen Coker as a late-round flyer, and would rather have Tyler Warren than Hunter Henry.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 3calls landed1 hit · 2 misses · all settled
33.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#8Pat Fitzmaurice’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Pat Fitzmaurice said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So Roshan is a pretty compelling deep sleep.
Pat Fitzmaurice, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Sleepers That Will BLOW UP in 2025 (Ep. 1615)
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJul 16, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–19, 2026
  1. 1Dylan Sampson to outplay his draft cost (RB sixty)“that ambiguity is giving us a really nice discount on a talented young rookie. So I'm happy to bet on Samson's talent and grab him with one of my final draft picks... Samson's at RB sixty”
  2. 2Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost (late round flyer)“I think this guy is sneaky good and I like him as a late round flyer.”
  3. 3Fantasy Rankings“I do agree with a lot of what treal is saying about Hunter Henry, but I would take Tyler Warren just for the sure possibilities with the upside.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Dylan Sampson to outplay his draft cost (RB sixty)1Sleeper Calls—0100−200
Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost (late round flyer)2Sleeper Calls—1000+200
“I do agree with a lot of what treal is saying about Hunter…”3Fantasy Rankings—050−100
3 calls · 1 hit · 2 misses · all settled33.350

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 sleeper calls and 1 fantasy ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Sleeper CallsDylan SampsonCleveland Browns

    Dylan Sampson to outplay his draft cost (RB sixty)

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    sleeper
    cost:
    RB sixty
    naive:
    a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
    skill:
    −200
    player:
    Dylan Sampson
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    RB
    had to beat:
    RB24
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    RB57
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Sleeper CallsJalen CokerCarolina Panthers

    Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost (late round flyer)

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    sleeper
    cost:
    late round flyer
    naive:
    he repeats last season
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Jalen Coker
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    WR
    had to beat:
    WR83
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    WR71
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Fantasy Rankings

    “I do agree with a lot of what treal is saying about Hunter Henry, but I would take Tyler Warren just for the sure possibilities with the upside.”

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 50
    0this call50a naive guess−50worse than naive2difficulty−100skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    −100
    placed:
    2
    season:
    2025
    players:
    2
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    TE 2: 0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    33.3naive 50

Others on the same people

More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.