Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Chris Brockman· Aug 25, 2025

Brockman picked the Ravens to win the AFC North and reach the Super Bowl, with Bengals second, Steelers third and Browns last; he says only one team from the division makes the playoffs, the Steelers' season is a disaster at 6-11, and Cleveland will be picking in the top five next year.

“I think Ravens are gonna go to the Super Bowl this year.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

6 checkable claims — 1 conference champion, 1 division winner, 1 playoff pick, 1 power ranking, 1 season win total and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 29 out of 100, against 45.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    “So, yes, Ravens first.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl

    “I think Ravens are gonna go to the Super Bowl this year.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE,SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs

    “Now, I think that only one team from this division makes the playoffs.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    BAL
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Power RankingsAug 25, 2025

    “You add that as window dressing to your Ravens, Bengals, Steelers, Browns finish. Yes, sir.”

    Close · 70Scored 70a naive guess scored 90-40 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    -40
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    70
    baseline:
    90
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cleveland Browns to pick “top five” (picks 1–5)

    “And then Cleveland, they're gonna be in the top five looking for a quarterback next season.”

    Hit · 84Scored 84.09a naive guess scored 100-31.82 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    CLE
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    they picked 5 the year before
    skill:
    -31.82
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    100
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted pick:
    top five (picks 1–5)
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 6 wins

    “Eight nine, seven, ten? Yeah. Yeah. I mean, six and eleven, seven and ten. Six and eleven.”

    Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 85-130 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    PIT
    naive:
    9.25
    skill:
    -130
    what happened:
    10
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    5
    accuracy:
    20
    baseline:
    85
    predicted:
    6
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these