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Pete Prisco#51 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 30, 2026

Prisco predicted a lopsided 37-21 Cowboys win over the Cardinals and a close 23-20 Rams victory over the Chargers.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

0 of 2calls landed1 close call · 1 miss · all settled
45.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
55A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#51Pete Prisco’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Pete Prisco said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Dallas big — even on a short week.
Pete Prisco, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
NFL Week 8 picks: Experts split on Ravens vs. Bills as Lamar Jackson eyes return
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 30
  2. PlayedNov 1
  3. GradedNov 1–2
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams 23 — Chargers 20“Prisco thinks they will struggle to separate in a 23-20 win over the team with which they share their home stadium.”
  2. 2Dallas Cowboys 37 — Cardinals 21“Dallas big, Prisco says. How big? Three possessions. It's a 37-21 Cowboys win in his eyes.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams 23 — Chargers 201Score PredictionsRams 24–971.4365.99+8.75
Dallas Cowboys 37 — Cardinals 212Score PredictionsCardinals 33–3019.0543.99−40.15
2 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled45.255

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 45.2 out of 100, against 55 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams 23 — Chargers 20

    What happenedRams 24–9called Rams by 3 · won by 15
    71.43Close · naive 65.99
    71.43this call65.99a naive guess5.44better than naive1.61difficulty+8.75skill

    Closing line (Nov 1): Rams by 6.5, total 46.5 · this 23–20 calls a closer game (Rams by 3) and fewer points (43).

    How this was scored
    score:
    9-24
    skill:
    8.75
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    71.43
    baseline:
    65.99
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.72
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Score PredictionsDallas Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys 37 — Cardinals 21

    What happenedCardinals 33–30called Cowboys by 16 · lost by 3
    19.05Miss · naive 43.99
    19.05this call43.99a naive guess−24.94worse than naive1.61difficulty−40.15skill

    Closing line (Nov 1): Cowboys by 7, total 54.5 · this 37–21 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 16) and more points (58).

    How this was scored
    score:
    33-30
    skill:
    −40.15
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    19.05
    baseline:
    43.99
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    16
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    45.2naive 55

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.