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Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 5, 2025

In their "sneaky good games" segment, Brockman picked the Jaguars to beat the visiting Panthers by at least a touchdown.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Game Outcome PicksThe callsettled
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

I like the Jaguars to win by at least a touchdown
Our reading: Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Carolina
The episode
Hour 3: NFL Insider Tom Pelissero on McCaffrey & More + Rich’s Top 5 WK1 Games
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 5, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Carolina

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Sep 7): Jaguars by 4.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 2 in 3 (64%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    10-26
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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