Jason McIntyre#46 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 9, 2025

Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre backed the Michael Penix-led Falcons to clear eight wins, citing a soft road schedule, and argued Alabama's Jalen Milroe will be selected in the first round of the NFL draft despite some analysts grading them as a Day 3 prospect.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled

53.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

75A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 2Settlednone still waiting

#46Jason McIntyre’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jason McIntyre said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

So I'm on the Falcons over seven and a half wins.

Jason McIntyre, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
The episode: Hour 2 - NFL predictions
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidApr 9, 2025
GradedAug 5–Oct 9, 2026

1Atlanta Falcons to finish with 8 wins“Keep an eye on the Atlanta Falcons over seven and a half wins... So I'm on the Falcons over seven and a half wins.”
2Jalen Milroe to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)“I think this is a Milrose situation where he goes first round guys.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Atlanta Falcons to finish with 8 wins¹	Season Win Totals	8	100	100	0
Jalen Milroe to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)²	Mock Draft Picks	Went 92	7.43	50	—
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled			53.7	75

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 53.7 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

wins

over 7.5They said

8What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

1Season Win Totals Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons to finish with 8 wins
What happened8called over 7.5
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
team:
ATL
naive:
8.25
skill:
0
what happened:
8
scored:
hit or miss on the line
season:
2025
window:
8 to 17
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
over
they said:
over 7.5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
2Mock Draft Picks Jalen Milroe
Jalen Milroe to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
What happenedWent 92
7.43Miss · naive 50
How this was scored
draft:
2025
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jalen Milroe
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
7.43
baseline:
50
actual pick:
92
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
7.43
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
53.7naive 75

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be taken No. 1 overall by the Raiders and to be thrown into the starting lineup immediately, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta within weeks.
Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and land with the Raiders, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta.
JP Acosta · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco.
Gregg Rosenthal · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Rosenthal gave their award ballot: Drake May atop their MVP list (though they expect Matthew Stafford to actually win), Myles Garrett for Defensive Player of the Year, Bijan Robinson for Offensive Player of the Year, Tetairoa McMillan for Offensive Rookie of the Year, Carson Schwesinger for Defensive Rookie of the Year, Mike Macdonald for Coach of the Year and Broncos O-line coach Zach Strief for Assistant Coach of the Year. They also expect Kirk Cousins to be cut by Atlanta.
Parker Hurley · Trade and Signing Calls · Jessie Bates · Miss 0
Hurley argues a Jessie Bates trade to San Francisco is unrealistic because Atlanta remains in the weak NFC South race and likely won't sell, and they expect 49ers safety Ji'Ayir Brown to depart in free agency after this season.
Jeremy Brener · Depth Chart Calls · Jalen Milroe · Miss 0
Brener suggests Seattle may turn to rookie-contract quarterback Jalen Milroe for their first career start in Week 9 against the Cardinals, with Sam Darnold ruled out and Drew Lock dealing with an elbow injury.

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.
Todd McShay · Mock Draft Picks · Keelon Russell · Miss 0
While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft.
Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.
Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.
Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.
Walt · Mock Draft Picks · Fernando Mendoza · Hit 100
In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft.