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Peter BukowskiMar 23, 2026

Bukowski argues Arkansas cornerback Julian Neal (Julianne Neill) is one of the 40-45 best players in the draft and deserves an early second-round/top-50 selection, while also predicting there's roughly a 90% chance he's still available for the Packers at pick 52 and that he won't last until pick 84.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Packers (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed2 misses · all settled
12.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Peter Bukowski said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think this is one of the 40 best football players in this draft and I think there is like a 90% chance he will be there for the Packers at 52.
Peter Bukowski, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
GUTEY'S GUYS: Julian Neal is THE under-the-radar pick at cornerback for the Packers new-look defense
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidMar 23
  2. GradedAug 14
  1. 1Julian Neal to be picked “consensus top 50 pick / early second round grade” (picks 1–50)“If Neil had played another year in the SEC, I think he'd be a consensus top 50 pick. As it is, I think he belongs there... I have an early second round grade.”
  2. 2Julian Neal to be picked at number 52“I think there is like a 90% chance he will be there for the Packers at 52.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Julian Neal to be picked “consensus top 50 pick / early second round grade” (picks 1–50)1Mock Draft PicksWent 9911.9750—
Julian Neal to be picked at number 522Mock Draft PicksWent 9913.0550—
2 calls · 2 misses · all settled12.550

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 12.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
consensus top 50 pick / early second round grade (picks 1–50)They said
99What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksJulian Neal

    Julian Neal to be picked “consensus top 50 pick / early second round grade” (picks 1–50)

    What happenedWent 99
    11.97Miss · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Julian Neal
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    11.97
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    99
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    11.97
    predicted pick:
    consensus top 50 pick / early second round grade (picks 1–50)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksJulian Neal

    Julian Neal to be picked at number 52

    What happenedWent 99mocked at 52
    13.05Miss · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Julian Neal
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    13.05
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    99
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    13.05
    predicted pick:
    52
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    12.5naive 50

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