Peter Bukowski· Mar 23, 2026
Bukowski argues Arkansas cornerback Julian Neal (Julianne Neill) is one of the 40-45 best players in the draft and deserves an early second-round/top-50 selection, while also predicting there's roughly a 90% chance he's still available for the Packers at pick 52 and that he won't last until pick 84.
“I think this is one of the 40 best football players in this draft and I think there is like a 90% chance he will be there for the Packers at 52.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Packers (podcast) · read the original →
2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
All 2 have settled, averaging 12.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickconsensus top 50 pick / early second round grade (picks 1–50)They said
99What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksJulian NealMar 23, 2026
Julian Neal to be picked “consensus top 50 pick / early second round grade” (picks 1–50)
“If Neil had played another year in the SEC, I think he'd be a consensus top 50 pick. As it is, I think he belongs there... I have an early second round grade.”
Miss · 12Scored 11.97a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Julian Neal
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 11.97
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 99
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 11.97
- predicted pick:
- consensus top 50 pick / early second round grade (picks 1–50)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksJulian NealMar 23, 2026
Julian Neal to be picked at number 52
“I think there is like a 90% chance he will be there for the Packers at 52.”
Miss · 13Scored 13.05a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Julian Neal
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 13.05
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 99
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 13.05
- predicted pick:
- 52
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
What others said about the same people
- David HarrisonMock Draft Picks · Julian NealMiss · 13In his final mock draft Monday, Harrison has the Commanders trading back twice and selecting eight players: safety Dylan Thieneman at 16, WR Denzel Boston at 33, RB Mike Washington Jr. at 83, C Jagger Burton at 132, CB Julian Neal at 147, QB Cade Klubnik at 187, DB Lorenzo Styles Jr. at 209 and TE Riley Nowakowski in the seventh round.
- Jacob WestendorfMock Draft Picks · Julian NealClose · 40Jacob agreed on the same mock selections (Chris Johnson at 52, Dominique Orange at 84, Julian Neal at 120, JC Davis at 153, Nick Singleton at 160), predicted Green Bay's 2027 starting corners would be Neal and Johnson, and said he would keep Devonte Wyatt rather than trade for and pay Dexter Lawrence.
- Jason HirschhornMock Draft Picks · Julian NealClose · 40In a constrained mock-draft exercise (choosing from pre-set boards), Jason agreed with Jacob on Packers selections: CB Chris Johnson at 52, DL Dominique Orange at 84, CB Julian Neal at 120, OL JC Davis at 153 and RB Nick Singleton at 160. He also doubted Chris Johnson would still be available at 52.
- Chad ReuterMock Draft Picks · Julian NealClose · 71Reuter's five-round mock has Buffalo trading up one spot to No. 25 for Texas A&M receiver Casey Concepcion, then taking Arkansas CB Julian Neal at 91, Michigan edge/linebacker Jayshawn Barham at 126, and Alabama linebacker Justin Jefferson at 168.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ryan WilsonMock Draft Picks · J.J. McCarthyMiss · 37Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.