Skip to main content

Bryan DeArdo#4 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 24, 2026

DeArdo picks the Steelers to beat the Saints in the first NFL game played in France, predicting a 27-20 Pittsburgh win.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

98Hit · out of 100
Steelers 16–10What happenedcalled Steelers by 7 · won by 6
35.04A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
97.62This callout of 100
#4Bryan DeArdo’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Bryan DeArdo said

Score: Steelers 27, Saints 20
Our reading: Pittsburgh Steelers 27 — Saints 20
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Saints vs. Steelers: Aaron Rodgers, Tyler Shough to duel in first-ever game in Paris
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 24
  2. PlayedOct 25
  3. GradedOct 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 97.6 out of 100, against 35 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsPittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers 27 — Saints 20

    What happenedSteelers 16–10called Steelers by 7 · won by 6
    97.62Hit · naive 35.04
    97.62this call35.04a naive guess62.58better than naive1.67difficulty+104.51skill

    Closing line (Oct 25): Steelers by 3, total 43.5 · this 27–20 calls a bigger Steelers win (by 7) and more points (47).

    How this was scored
    score:
    16-10
    skill:
    104.51
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    35.04
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    −0.28
    predicted margin:
    7
    Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.