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TJ Jefferson#66 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 26, 2025

Jefferson predicted the Buccaneers win the NFC South, with the Falcons second, Panthers third and Saints last.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled
50Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
45A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#66TJ Jefferson’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What TJ Jefferson said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Bucky Irving, Chris Godwin, the defense, Bucks winning that division.
TJ Jefferson, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
NFC South Predictions
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidAug 26, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–17, 2026
  1. 1Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division“Bucky Irving, Chris Godwin, the defense, Bucks winning that division. This is my prediction.”
  2. 2Power Rankings“we got the Saints. They're finishing last... I got the Panthers coming in third... they're not good enough to supplant the Falcons who I have in second... Bucks winning that division.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division1Division Winners—000
“we got the Saints. They're finishing last... I got the Panthers…”2Power Rankings—10090+20
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled5045

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 division winner and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 45 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Division WinnersTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Power Rankings

    “we got the Saints. They're finishing last... I got the Panthers coming in third... they're not good enough to supplant the Falcons who I have in second... Bucks winning that division.”

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 90
    100this call90a naive guess10better than naive2difficulty+20skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    20
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    90
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    50naive 45

Others on the same people

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