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Jordan Dajani#23 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 2, 2026

Dajani takes the visiting Rams to beat the Eagles 26-20 in Philadelphia.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

95Hit · out of 100
Rams 24–20What happenedcalled Rams by 6 · won by 4
42.86A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
95.24This callout of 100
#23Jordan Dajani’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jordan Dajani said

Jordan Dajani likes the Rams, 26-20, over the Eagles in Philly
Our reading: Los Angeles Rams 26 — Eagles 20
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
NFL Week 4 odds, predictions, expert picks: Who wins 49ers-Broncos showdown? Colts or Commanders in London?
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 2
  2. PlayedOct 4
  3. GradedOct 5

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 95.2 out of 100, against 42.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams 26 — Eagles 20

    What happenedRams 24–20called Rams by 6 · won by 4
    95.24Hit · naive 42.86
    95.24this call42.86a naive guess52.38better than naive1.83difficulty+95.86skill

    Closing line (Oct 4): Rams by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 26–20 calls a bigger Rams win (by 6) and more points (46).

    How this was scored
    score:
    24-20
    skill:
    95.86
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    42.86
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    15
    naive home margin:
    1
    predicted margin:
    6
    Think this is wrong?

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