Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 10, 2025
Cowherd ran through his weekly 'Blazing 5' picks, calling Seattle to win outright at Jacksonville, low-scoring Patriots and Commanders wins, a narrow Chargers win over Miami, and a Raiders win over Tennessee. He also picked the Rams over the Ravens and the Steelers over the Browns.
Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original
What Colin Cowherd said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromSeattle wins outright in a bad mood. Cross Country thirty twenty seven.
- Where it was said
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
- The episode
- THE HERD - Hour 2 - Blazin' 5 picks for the weekend, Jaxson Dart is special, Jordan Palmer
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidOct 10, 2025
- GradedAug 5–17, 2026
- 1Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Cleveland“should the Steelers win? Absolutely? I think the Steelers will win.”
- 2New England Patriots 21 — Saints 20“Patriots win, but take the under. Let's say at twenty one to twenty ugly choppie game.”
- 3Las Vegas Raiders 26 — Tennessee 17“I like the Raiders minus three and a half... Twenty six seventeen”
- 4Los Angeles Chargers 24 — Dolphins 23“Chargers probably win this game twenty four to twenty three. I'm absolutely taking the points with the Dolphins.”
- 5Washington Commanders 33 — Bears 26“My favorite bet of the week is the Commander's minus four and a half... The Commanders win thirty three twenty six.”
- 6Los Angeles Rams to beat Ravens“I'm not touching this game... Rams will win, but I'm not touching with him.”
- 7Seattle Seahawks 30 — Jacksonville 27“Seattle wins outright in a bad mood. Cross Country thirty twenty seven. Hawks rebound from that loss last week.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Cleveland1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| New England Patriots 21 — Saints 202 | Score Predictions | — | 88.1 | 40.54 | +81.79 | |
| Las Vegas Raiders 26 — Tennessee 173 | Score Predictions | — | 97.62 | 81.02 | +28.55 | |
| Los Angeles Chargers 24 — Dolphins 234 | Score Predictions | — | 97.62 | 49.93 | +82.02 | |
| Washington Commanders 33 — Bears 265 | Score Predictions | — | 35.71 | 47.55 | −20.36 | |
| Los Angeles Rams to beat Ravens6 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +172 | |
| Seattle Seahawks 30 — Jacksonville 277 | Score Predictions | — | 88.1 | 35.78 | +89.98 | |
| 7 calls · 6 hits · 1 miss · all settled | 86.7 | 50.7 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive7 checkable claims — 5 score predictions and 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 7 have settled, averaging 86.7 out of 100, against 50.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Cleveland
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.72difficulty=0skillClosing line (Oct 12): Steelers by 5.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 71%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 9-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
2Score PredictionsNew England Patriots
New England Patriots 21 — Saints 20
VerdictHit88.1Hit · naive 40.5488.1this call−40.54a naive guess=47.56better than naive×1.72difficulty=+81.79skillClosing line (Oct 12): Patriots by 3.5, total 46.5 · this 21–20 calls a closer game (Patriots by 1) and fewer points (41).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 25-19
- skill:
- 81.79
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 88.1
- baseline:
- 40.54
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 1
3Score PredictionsLas Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders 26 — Tennessee 17
VerdictHit97.62Hit · naive 81.0297.62this call−81.02a naive guess=16.6better than naive×1.72difficulty=+28.55skillClosing line (Oct 12): Raiders by 3.5, total 41.5 · this 26–17 calls a bigger Raiders win (by 9) and more points (43). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 10-20
- skill:
- 28.55
- they picked:
- LV
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 97.62
- baseline:
- 81.02
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 9
4Score PredictionsLos Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers 24 — Dolphins 23
VerdictHit97.62Hit · naive 49.9397.62this call−49.93a naive guess=47.69better than naive×1.72difficulty=+82.02skillClosing line (Oct 12): Chargers by 3.5, total 45.5 · this 24–23 calls a closer game (Chargers by 1) and more points (47). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 29-27
- skill:
- 82.02
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 97.62
- baseline:
- 49.93
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 1
5Score PredictionsWashington Commanders
Washington Commanders 33 — Bears 26
VerdictMiss35.71Miss · naive 47.5535.71this call−47.55a naive guess=−11.84worse than naive×1.72difficulty=−20.36skillClosing line (Oct 13): Commanders by 5.5, total 49.5 · this 33–26 calls a bigger Commanders win (by 7) and more points (59). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 25-24
- skill:
- −20.36
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 35.71
- baseline:
- 47.55
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 7
6Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams to beat Ravens
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.72difficulty=+172skillClosing line (Oct 12): Rams by 7 · favorite pick, Rams about 3 in 4 (75%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 17-3
- skill:
- 172
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
7Score PredictionsSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 30 — Jacksonville 27
VerdictHit88.1Hit · naive 35.7888.1this call−35.78a naive guess=52.32better than naive×1.72difficulty=+89.98skillClosing line (Oct 12): Seahawks by 1.5, total 47.5 · this 30–27 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 3) and more points (57).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 20-12
- skill:
- 89.98
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 88.1
- baseline:
- 35.78
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 3
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 7 settled calls, each counted once
86.7naive 50.7
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups.