Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 5, 2026
Eisen predicted road teams would go 4-2 on wild card weekend, with only the Patriots and Eagles winning at home — which leaves the Rams, Packers, Bills and Texans winning on the road. They also expect Lamar Jackson back with the Ravens.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original
What Rich Eisen said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromRoad teams go four and two on wildcard weekend.
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- NFL Week 18: Playoffs Preview, Ravens' Need a Shakeup & More
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 12, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJan 5
- GradedAug 13–17
- 1Green Bay Packers to beat Bears“Going to the bears. Okay? ... Road teams go four and two on wildcard weekend. So who are the two that win? Your Patriots could be one. And the Eagles probably.”
- 2Los Angeles Rams to beat Carolina“Rams going to Carolina. ... Road teams go four and two on wildcard weekend. So who are the two that win? Your Patriots could be one. And the Eagles probably.”
- 3Philadelphia Eagles to beat Niners“So who are the two that win? Your Patriots could be one. And the Eagles probably. ... Niners going to Philadelphia.”
- 4Buffalo Bills to beat Jaguars“Bills going to the Jaguars. Okay? ... Road teams go four and two on wildcard weekend. So who are the two that win? Your Patriots could be one. And the Eagles probably.”
- 5Houston Texans to beat Pittsburgh“And Texans going to Pittsburgh. ... Road teams go four and two on wildcard weekend. So who are the two that win? Your Patriots could be one. And the Eagles probably.”
- 6New England Patriots to beat Chargers“Road teams go four and two on wildcard weekend. So who are the two that win? Your Patriots could be one. And the Eagles probably. ... Chargers going to New England.”
- 7Lamar Jackson — “will be back for the Ravens”“And Lamar will be back for the Ravens, and they will be a team that we look at as a Super Bowl contender again.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers to beat Bears1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 100 | −100 | |
| Los Angeles Rams to beat Carolina2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| Philadelphia Eagles to beat Niners3 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Buffalo Bills to beat Jaguars4 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| Houston Texans to beat Pittsburgh5 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| New England Patriots to beat Chargers6 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Lamar Jackson — “will be back for the Ravens”7 | Roster Spot Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 7 calls · 4 hits · 2 misses · 1 waiting | 66.7 | 33.3 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive7 checkable claims — 6 game outcome picks and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
6 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers to beat Bears
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1difficulty=−100skillClosing line (Jan 10): Packers by 2.5 · favorite pick, Packers 55%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 27-31
- skill:
- −100
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
2Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams to beat Carolina
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillClosing line (Jan 10): Rams by 10 · favorite pick, Rams about 4 in 5 (81%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 34-31
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CAR
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
3Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Niners
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillClosing line (Jan 11): Eagles by 6 · favorite pick, Eagles 70%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 23-19
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
4Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to beat Jaguars
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillClosing line (Jan 11): Jaguars by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 47%, Jaguars 53%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 27-24
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
5Game Outcome PicksHouston Texans
Houston Texans to beat Pittsburgh
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 30-6
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
6Game Outcome PicksNew England Patriots
New England Patriots to beat Chargers
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillClosing line (Jan 11): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots 64%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 3-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
7Roster Spot CallsLamar JacksonBaltimore Ravens
Lamar Jackson — “will be back for the Ravens”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once
66.7naive 33.3
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota.John Breech · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 62
Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 74
Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17.Bobby Skinner · Trade and Signing Calls · Stefon Diggs · Miss 0
Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates they had listed.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
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Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
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Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.