Nathan Jahnke· Aug 17, 2026
A PFF fantasy football piece names five players whose current draft prices don't account for expected declines: Rashee Rice, Cam Skattebo, Davante Adams, Lamar Jackson and TreVeyon Henderson. It also expects Skattebo to lead the Giants in carries and Rhamondre Stevenson to remain New England's primary back.
“The players featured here are being drafted as though they will largely replicate their recent production, but each has a clear reason to expect a decline in fantasy output.”
published in writing · Pro Football Focus · read the original →
7 checkable claims — 5 fantasy bust calls and 2 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.
Where this call stands in the room
Rhamondre Stevenson · 2026 season10 calls from 8 pundits between 1 and 2. Nathan Jahnke said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
7 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Fantasy Bust CallsCam SkatteboNew York GiantsAug 17, 2026
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 4.05)
“Between his return from a significant injury and the possibility of a three-man committee, he carries enough workload risk to make his fourth-round ADP difficult to justify.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Fantasy Bust CallsDavante AdamsLos Angeles RamsAug 17, 2026
Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 4.12)
“Davante Adams faces touchdown regression: Adams scored a league-high 14 touchdowns last season, but his receptions and receiving yards per game were his lowest since 2015.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart
“If the two play at the level they did last season, Stevenson should remain the primary back”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
TreVeyon Henderson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 5.08)
“RB TreVeyon Henderson , New England Patriots (ADP: 5.08) ... If the two play at the level they did last season, Stevenson should remain the primary back, and Henderson would carry fantasy value mainly when the Patriots are blowing opponents out.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsCam SkatteboNew York GiantsAug 17, 2026
Cam Skattebo to be 1st on the depth chart
“Skattebo remains the favorite to lead the team in carries, but his workload could be significantly less secure than it was during his four-game stretch as the starter last season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Fantasy Bust CallsLamar JacksonBaltimore RavensAug 17, 2026
Lamar Jackson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 3.08)
“the uncertainty surrounding his rushing workload, new coaching staff and supporting cast makes his top-five price difficult to justify when similar upside is available several rounds later”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Fantasy Bust CallsRashee RiceKansas City ChiefsAug 17, 2026
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 3.03)
“Rashee Rice carries third-round risk: Potential changes to his role, recurring availability concerns and increased competition make his 3.03 consensus ADP difficult to trust.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.
More fantasy bust calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls · Keon ColemanHit · 100Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.
- Chris WelshFantasy Bust Calls · Austin EkelerHit · 100Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.
- Pat FitzmauriceFantasy Bust Calls · Breece HallMiss · 0Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.
- Joe PisapiaFantasy Bust Calls · Christian McCaffreyMiss · 0Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.
- Derek BrownFantasy Bust Calls · Chuba HubbardHit · 100Derek Brown ("Deebro") names three busts to avoid in 2025 fantasy drafts: Kyren Williams at an RB1 price, Chuba Hubbard as a top-20 RB, and Xavier Worthy as his ultimate bust, arguing Rashee Rice is the clear No. 1 receiver in Kansas City.
- Sean KernerFantasy Bust Calls · Travis HunterMiss · 0Kerner's top move is Travis Hunter to Jacksonville, though he calls Hunter's WR30 price a bit rich given usage uncertainty. He is all-in on Ashton Jeanty as a workhorse with top-five rookie upside, likes Ben Johnson's arrival for Caleb Williams and rookie TE Colston Loveland, expects DeVonta Adams to boost Matthew Stafford's touchdown total over 22.5, and is heavily drafting Jayden Higgins as Houston's No. 2 receiver.