Nathan Jahnke#72 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 17, 2026
A PFF fantasy football piece names five players whose current draft prices don't account for expected declines: Rashee Rice, Cam Skattebo, Davante Adams, Lamar Jackson and TreVeyon Henderson. It also expects Skattebo to lead the Giants in carries and Rhamondre Stevenson to remain New England's primary back.
Published in writing · Pro Football FocusRead the original
What Nathan Jahnke said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromThe players featured here are being drafted as though they will largely replicate their recent production, but each has a clear reason to expect a decline in fantasy output.
- Where it was published
- Pro Football Focus
- The piece
- Fantasy Football: 5 players to avoid in 2026 drafts
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- 1Cam Skattebo to be 1st on the depth chart“Skattebo remains the favorite to lead the team in carries, but his workload could be significantly less secure than it was during his four-game stretch as the starter last season.”
- 2TreVeyon Henderson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 5.08)“RB TreVeyon Henderson , New England Patriots (ADP: 5.08) ... If the two play at the level they did last season, Stevenson should remain the primary back, and Henderson would carry fantasy value mainly when the Patriots are blowing opponents out.”
- 3Lamar Jackson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 3.08)“the uncertainty surrounding his rushing workload, new coaching staff and supporting cast makes his top-five price difficult to justify when similar upside is available several rounds later”
- 4Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 3.03)“Rashee Rice carries third-round risk: Potential changes to his role, recurring availability concerns and increased competition make his 3.03 consensus ADP difficult to trust.”
- 5Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart“If the two play at the level they did last season, Stevenson should remain the primary back”
- 6Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 4.12)“Davante Adams faces touchdown regression: Adams scored a league-high 14 touchdowns last season, but his receptions and receiving yards per game were his lowest since 2015.”
- 7Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 4.05)“Between his return from a significant injury and the possibility of a three-man committee, he carries enough workload risk to make his fourth-round ADP difficult to justify.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Skattebo to be 1st on the depth chart1 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| TreVeyon Henderson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 5.08)2 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Lamar Jackson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 3.08)3 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 3.03)4 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart5 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 4.12)6 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 4.05)7 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 7 calls · 7 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
7 checkable claims — 5 fantasy bust calls and 2 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Rhamondre Stevenson · 2026 season13 calls from 10 pundits between 1 and 1. Nathan Jahnke said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against the room
Their call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.
1Depth Chart CallsCam SkatteboNew York Giants
Cam Skattebo to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Fantasy Bust CallsTreVeyon HendersonNew England Patriots
TreVeyon Henderson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 5.08)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Fantasy Bust CallsLamar JacksonBaltimore Ravens
Lamar Jackson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 3.08)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Fantasy Bust CallsRashee RiceKansas City Chiefs
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 3.03)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Depth Chart CallsRhamondre StevensonNew England Patriots
Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Fantasy Bust CallsDavante AdamsLos Angeles Rams
Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 4.12)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
7Fantasy Bust CallsCam SkatteboNew York Giants
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 4.05)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.
More fantasy bust calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Derek Brown · Fantasy Bust Calls · Keon Coleman · Hit 100
Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.Chris Welsh · Fantasy Bust Calls · Austin Ekeler · Hit 100
Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.Pat Fitzmaurice · Fantasy Bust Calls · Breece Hall · Miss 0
Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.Joe Pisapia · Fantasy Bust Calls · Christian McCaffrey · Miss 0
Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.Sean Kerner · Fantasy Bust Calls · Travis Hunter · Miss 0
Kerner's top move is Travis Hunter to Jacksonville, though they call Hunter's WR30 price a bit rich given usage uncertainty. They are all-in on Ashton Jeanty as a workhorse with top-five rookie upside, likes Ben Johnson's arrival for Caleb Williams and rookie TE Colston Loveland, expects DeVonta Adams to boost Matthew Stafford's touchdown total over 22.5, and is heavily drafting Jayden Higgins as Houston's No. 2 receiver.