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Charles DavisMar 3, 2025

Davis names Jackson Dart as the quarterback who emerged as the third QB of the class after the combine throwing session.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

71Close · out of 100
Position Order CallsThe callsettled
29.17A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
70.71This callout of 100
+41.54Skillafter difficulty

What Charles Davis said

He came in being talked about being the third quarterback for me. It's Jackson Dart out of Old Miss.
Our reading: Jaxson Dart to be 3rd quarterback off the board
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Monday Hour 2: Rodgers Future, Cam Ward/Shedeur Sanders, and Combine QB Assessments
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidMar 3, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 70.7 out of 100, against 29.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

positional finish
3They said
2What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Position Order CallsJaxson Dart

    Jaxson Dart to be 3rd quarterback off the board

    VerdictClose
    70.71Close · naive 29.17
    70.71this call29.17a naive guess41.54better than naive1difficulty+41.54skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    naming one of the 14 at random averages 29.17
    skill:
    41.54
    player:
    Jaxson Dart
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    29.17
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    2
    predicted order:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

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