Skip to main content

Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 3, 2025

Brockman floats several overreactions: the Titans trade the No. 1 pick, at least six QBs and RBs combined go in round one, Shedeur Sanders falls out of the top 10, the Rams win the NFC West, the Deebo Samuel trade makes Washington the NFC's team to beat, and Sam Darnold leaves Minnesota for $50 million a year.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 3calls landed1 hit · 2 misses · all settled
33.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Adding Deebo puts the commanders as the team to beat in the NFC.
Chris Brockman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
OverReaction Monday: NFL Combine Recap
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidMar 3, 2025
  2. GradedAug 17–Sep 18, 2026
  1. 1Sam Darnold to move“Sam Darnold... Not coming back to the Vikings, and he's gonna get $50,000,000 a year in his new deal.”
  2. 2Los Angeles Rams to win the division“With him staying put, the NFC West Rams division to lose in 2025.”
  3. 3Washington Commanders to reach the Super Bowl“Adding Deebo puts the commanders as the team to beat in the NFC.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Sam Darnold to move1Trade and Signing CallsEnded up with SEA1000+200
Los Angeles Rams to win the division2Division Winners—000
Washington Commanders to reach the Super Bowl3Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won000
3 calls · 1 hit · 2 misses · all settled33.30

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 conference champion, 1 division winner and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happenedEnded up with SEA
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Sam Darnold
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    MIN
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    SEA
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Division WinnersLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Conference ChampionsWashington Commanders

    Washington Commanders to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked WAS
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    33.3naive 0

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.