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Daniel Jeremiah#25 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 24, 2026

In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. They also expect Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 4calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · 2 waiting
69.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 6Settled2 still waiting
#25Daniel Jeremiah’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Daniel Jeremiah said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So I'll go our Mason Thomas at fifty two edge rusher out of Oklahoma.
Daniel Jeremiah, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
40s and Free Agents: March Sadness - Fixing The 5 teams Without a 1st Round Pick
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidMar 24
  2. GradedOct 1
  1. 1Jacob Rodriguez to be picked “in the second round” (picks 33–64)“he's going to try and take a linebacker in the second round ... And Jacob Rodriguez out of Texas Tech. So that's the one that I like for them”
  2. 2Keyron Crawford to be picked at number 62“when you're picking there at pick sixty two ... I'm gonna actually go with keiroon Crawford from Auburn”
  3. 3Antonio Williams to be picked at number 48“at pick number forty eight, it just so happens my forty eighth players Antonio Williams out of Clemson”
  4. 4R Mason Thomas to be picked at number 52“So I'll go our Mason Thomas at fifty two edge rusher out of Oklahoma.”
  5. 5Travis Hunter to be 1st on the depth chart“Yeah, I think that's going to happen. He'll sprinkle on a little offense, just a little sprinkle.”
  6. 6Riley Leonard to be 1st on the depth chart“to start, Yeah, to start early in the season. I think that. I think all signs point towards that.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Jacob Rodriguez to be picked “in the second round” (picks 33–64)1Mock Draft PicksWent 4310050−25
Keyron Crawford to be picked at number 622Mock Draft PicksWent 6780.5250−25
Antonio Williams to be picked at number 483Mock Draft PicksWent 7136.9250−25
R Mason Thomas to be picked at number 524Mock Draft PicksWent 4059.4650−25
Travis Hunter to be 1st on the depth chart5Depth Chart Calls————
Riley Leonard to be 1st on the depth chart6Depth Chart Calls————
6 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · 2 waiting69.250

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

6 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks and 2 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 69.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
in the second round (picks 33–64)They said
43What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksJacob RodriguezIndianapolis Colts

    Jacob Rodriguez to be picked “in the second round” (picks 33–64)

    What happenedWent 43
    100Hit · naive 50
    25this mock’s order50a shuffled mock−25worse than naive1difficulty−25skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    −25
    player:
    Jacob Rodriguez
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    43
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    in the second round (picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    25
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksKeyron CrawfordDenver Broncos

    Keyron Crawford to be picked at number 62

    What happenedWent 67mocked at 62
    80.52Hit · naive 50
    25this mock’s order50a shuffled mock−25worse than naive1difficulty−25skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    −25
    player:
    Keyron Crawford
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    67
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    62
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    25
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksAntonio WilliamsAtlanta Falcons

    Antonio Williams to be picked at number 48

    What happenedWent 71mocked at 48
    36.92Miss · naive 50
    25this mock’s order50a shuffled mock−25worse than naive1difficulty−25skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    −25
    player:
    Antonio Williams
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    36.92
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    71
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    36.92
    predicted pick:
    48
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    25
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Mock Draft PicksR Mason ThomasGreen Bay Packers

    R Mason Thomas to be picked at number 52

    What happenedWent 40mocked at 52
    59.46Close · naive 50
    25this mock’s order50a shuffled mock−25worse than naive1difficulty−25skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    −25
    player:
    R Mason Thomas
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    59.46
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    40
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    59.46
    predicted pick:
    52
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    25
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Depth Chart CallsTravis HunterJacksonville Jaguars

    Travis Hunter to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. 6Depth Chart CallsRiley LeonardIndianapolis Colts

    Riley Leonard to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    69.2naive 50

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