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Jason McIntyre#46 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 13, 2025

McIntyre pushed back on Cowherd, guaranteeing the 49ers finish at least two wins ahead of Seattle (roughly ten to eight), and predicted the Rams defense would be a top-15/16 unit rather than elite.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed1 close call · 1 miss · 1 waiting
30Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 3Settled1 still waiting
#46Jason McIntyre’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jason McIntyre said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I guarantee you the Niners have at least two more wins on the win total than Seattle. It'll be like ten versus eight at least.
Jason McIntyre, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 2 - NFC predictions
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidMar 13, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026
  1. 1Seattle Seahawks to finish with 8 wins“It'll be like ten versus eight at least.”
  2. 2San Francisco 49ers to finish with 10 wins“guarantee you the Niners have at least two more wins on the win total than Seattle. It'll be like ten versus eight at least.”
  3. 3Position Group Rankings“It'll probably be a top half of the league's top fifteen to sixteen defense.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Seattle Seahawks to finish with 8 wins1Season Win Totals1405−10
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 10 wins2Season Win Totals12605+110
“It'll probably be a top half of the league's top fifteen to…”3Position Group Rankings————
3 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · 1 waiting305

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 season win totals and 1 position group ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 30 out of 100, against 5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

wins
8They said
14What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Season Win TotalsSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to finish with 8 wins

    What happened14called 8
    0Miss · naive 5
    0this call5a naive guess−5worse than naive2difficulty−10skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    SEA
    naive:
    9.25
    skill:
    −10
    what happened:
    14
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    5
    they said:
    8
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Season Win TotalsSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers to finish with 10 wins

    What happened12called 10
    60Close · naive 5
    60this call5a naive guess55better than naive2difficulty+110skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    SF
    naive:
    7.25
    skill:
    110
    what happened:
    12
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    60
    baseline:
    5
    they said:
    10
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Position Group Rankings

    “It'll probably be a top half of the league's top fifteen to sixteen defense.”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    30naive 5

Others on the same people

More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.