Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Jeremy Brener#64 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 14, 2026

Brener picks the Broncos to edge the Seahawks 22-20 in a close, physical game, citing altitude, home atmosphere and Seattle's short-week travel.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

98Hit · out of 100
Broncos 17–14What happenedcalled Broncos by 2 · won by 3
93.6A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
97.62This callout of 100
#64Jeremy Brener’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jeremy Brener said

I think the altitude, home atmosphere and traveling on a short week is a tough combination for the Seahawks to try and overcome.
Our reading: Denver Broncos 22 — Seahawks 20
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
3 Score Predictions for Seahawks vs. Broncos
The original
Read the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidOct 13
  2. PlayedOct 15
  3. GradedOct 16

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 97.6 out of 100, against 93.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos 22 — Seahawks 20

    What happenedBroncos 17–14called Broncos by 2 · won by 3
    97.62Hit · naive 93.6
    97.62this call93.6a naive guess4.02better than naive1.72difficulty+6.91skill

    Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5, total 40.5 · this 22–20 calls a Broncos win (by 2; the line gave the Broncos 42%) and more points (42).

    How this was scored
    score:
    14-17
    skill:
    6.91
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    93.6
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    13
    naive home margin:
    0.31
    predicted margin:
    2
    Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these