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Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 23, 2026

Brockman predicts Ty Simpson will be drafted higher than expected — in the top 15, top half of the first round — with a team trading up for them.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Went 13What happenedsettled
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

I think this kid can play, and I think he's gonna be drafted higher than everyone thinks.
Our reading: Ty Simpson to be picked “Top 15. Top half of the first round.” (picks 1–15)
The episode
Brady & Flag Football, JSN Gets the Bag, NFL Draft Intrigue and More
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 12, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidMar 23
  2. GradedAug 13

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
Top 15. Top half of the first round. (picks 1–15)They said
13What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Mock Draft PicksTy Simpson

    Ty Simpson to be picked “Top 15. Top half of the first round.” (picks 1–15)

    What happenedWent 13
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    Top 15. Top half of the first round. (picks 1–15)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

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