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95.57% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 10 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
301–325 of 717
423 / 717
graded
294 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Buffalo Bills to beat Jets
because I think the Bills, even without Josh Allen, are gonna beat the Jets in their final home game
Tyler Shough to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
Is is 100% in play. ... So I'll I'll say this is not an overreaction right now. Certainly, when you could see, how Shuck has performed
Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart
He's gonna be starting somewhere next year. I think that's, without a doubt.
Jared Goff to be 1st on the depth chart
They're gonna go into 2026 with golf 100%.
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 9 wins
The Vikings might finish above 500.
Baltimore Ravens to beat Steelers
Who are you picking? In this one? ... I'm my early thoughts would be the Ravens.
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
I think the Jaguars will beat the Titans at home and win their division and doesn't matter what Houston does against Indianapolis week 18
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Titans
because I think the Jaguars will beat the Titans at home and win their division
Los Angeles Chargers to take the top seed
I I think they're gonna wind up maybe being the seventh seed in the AFC
New Orleans Saints to finish with 9 wins
having him over five hundred next season is a tall order ... So I'll I'll say this is not an overreaction right now ... I look at this Saints team as having a a nice 2026.
Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl
The bears, Rich, they're a team of destiny. They're gonna win the NFC.
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
The Steelers and Mike Tomlin are gonna end their playoff win drought.
New England Patriots to take the top seed
The road to the Super Bowl and the AFC goes through Foxborough... I'm saying they're gonna be the one seed.
Trevor Lawrence to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top five quarterback. Jags are legit Super Bowl contenders.
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Denver
So you would need Denver to lose to the chargers Right. In week 18. Yeah. I'm calling my shot on that one.
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
But all that said, you know, the Steelers should make the playoffs. They should, if they do, host a playoff game.
Trevor Lawrence to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
And Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top five quarterback. He is elusive.
Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl
So I I can't push back on this that they're a team of destiny and they're winning the NFC.
Green Bay Packers to beat Ravens
They've got the Ravens in their house next... I I don't think they're gonna lose to the Ravens at home.
Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs
I I don't think they're gonna lose to the Ravens at home. I think the Ravens are gonna be out, and I think the Packers make the playoffs.
Denver Broncos to take the top seed
It looks like they're gonna lock up the one seed if they kinda handle business the rest of the season.
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
They're gonna win the division probably, but they'll lose to the five seed who will be in NFC West.
Chicago Bears to win the division
It's not their division. It's the Bears division. The Bears are gonna win the NFC North.
Philip Rivers to move — “in the NFL in 2026”
And I think he's gonna be in the NFL in 2026.
TreVeyon Henderson to be 1st on the depth chart
And I I mean, I think he should definitely start out snapping, Ramondre by a nice margin too.