Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 10, 2025

Brockman argued the Patriots are the AFC's best team, that the NFC's road to the Super Bowl runs through the West (Seahawks or Rams), that Jonathan Taylor has locked up at least one postseason award, that the Lions will be the No. 1 seed if Dan Campbell keeps calling plays, and that the Eagles will beat the Packers on Monday night.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 4calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · 1 waiting

62.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls

0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

4 of 5Settled1 still waiting

#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

The NFC road to the Super Bowl goes through the West.

Chris Brockman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Overreaction Monday (podcast)
The episode: NFL Week 10: Pats are AFC's Best, JT Goes Off (Again), Daboll Giants' Future & More
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidNov 10, 2025
GradedAug 13–17, 2026

1Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl“The NFC road to the Super Bowl goes through the West... Either Seattle or either the Rams.”
2Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl“The NFC road to the Super Bowl goes through the West... Either Seattle or either the Rams.”
3Detroit Lions to take the top seed“And I think if Dan Campbell calls offensive plays the rest of the season, the lions will be the one seed.”
4Philadelphia Eagles to beat Green Bay“I am curious what Philadelphia looks like Monday night, in Green Bay. I I think they're gonna win the game.”
5Jonathan Taylor to win at least one postseason award“Jonathan Taylor locked up at least one award on Sunday.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl¹	Conference Champions	NE and SEA won	100	0	+150
Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl²	Conference Champions	NE and SEA won	50	0	+75
Detroit Lions to take the top seed³	Seeding, Byes and Home Field	—	0	0	0
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Green Bay⁴	Game Outcome Picks	—	100	0	+150
Jonathan Taylor to win at least one postseason award⁵	Award Picks	—	—	—	—
5 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · 1 waiting			62.5	0

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

5 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 1 award pick, 1 game outcome pick and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 62.5 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Conference Champions Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked SEA
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.5difficulty+150skill
How this was scored
skill:
150
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
champions:
NE, SEA
difficulty:
1.5
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
9
reached the Super Bowl:
yes
lost the conference final:
no
Think this is wrong?
2Conference Champions Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked LAR
50Close · naive 0
50this call0a naive guess50better than naive1.5difficulty+75skill
How this was scored
skill:
75
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
0
champions:
NE, SEA
difficulty:
1.5
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
9
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
yes
Think this is wrong?
3Seeding, Byes and Home Field Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions to take the top seed
VerdictMiss
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.5difficulty0skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
DET
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
checked as:
the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
actual tier:
missed the playoffs
difficulty:
1.5
the naive guess:
where they finished last season (bye)
weeks in the season:
18
claimed seed:
1
claimed tier:
bye
weeks left when called:
9
Think this is wrong?
4Game Outcome Picks Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Green Bay
VerdictHit
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.5difficulty+150skill
Closing line (Nov 10): Packers by 1.5 · a toss-up, Eagles 50%, Packers 50%.
How this was scored
won:
PHI
score:
10-7
skill:
150
they picked:
PHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
GB
difficulty:
1.5
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
9
Think this is wrong?
5Award Picks Jonathan Taylor Indianapolis Colts
Jonathan Taylor to win at least one postseason award
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
62.5naive 0

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Anthony Richardson · Hit 100
Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; they also argue the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing them to Trey Lance.
Jeremy Brener · Depth Chart Calls · Drew Lock · Hit 100
Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner.
Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd believes Matt Stafford's public negotiation posturing means he ultimately stays in Los Angeles, and he flags Travis Hunter as a high draft pick who could underachieve because trying to play both cornerback and receiver full-time will hurt him.
Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
Tyler Sullivan · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Nick Wright · Conference Champions · New England Patriots · Hit 100
The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; they also pick New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. They call Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL.
Nick Wright · Conference Champions · Denver Broncos · Close 50
Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP.
Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell · Conference Champions · New England Patriots · Hit 100
Connor expects a tight first half in Denver before New England pulls away in the second half and advances to the Super Bowl.
Gregg Rosenthal · Conference Champions · New England Patriots · Hit 100
Rosenthal picks the Patriots to beat the Broncos in a close, low-scoring AFC Championship in Denver (while liking Denver to cover the 4.5 points), takes the Seahawks over the Rams in a defensive NFC Championship they peg around 23-19, and forecasts a Patriots-Seahawks Super Bowl.
Richard Sherman · Conference Champions · New England Patriots · Hit 100
Sherman picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams comfortably at home, 27-17, with a defensive score, and says the winner of that NFC Championship game will win the Super Bowl. They also pick the Patriots to win comfortably in Denver, 21-15, and assumes Matthew Stafford will be named league MVP.
Mitchell Eisenstein · Conference Champions · New England Patriots · Hit 100
Mitchell picks Seattle to beat the Rams by a touchdown, 27-20, and advance to the Super Bowl, picks New England to beat Denver and reach the Super Bowl, and calls Kenneth Walker as Super Bowl MVP.