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95.57% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 10 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
451–475 of 717
423 / 717
graded
294 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year
Kyle Shanahan is coach of the year front runner right now.
New York Jets to pick “top five” (picks 1–5)
Both the Giants and the Jets will be picking in the top five next [April]
New York Giants to pick “top five” (picks 1–5)
Both the Giants and the Jets will be picking in the top five next [April]
Baker Mayfield — MVP: finish no lower than third in the MVP
I think he's actually probably the MVP right now through five weeks, but Baker Mayfield will finish no lower than third in the MVP this season.
Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
Jonathan Taylor looks like offensive player of the year, best running back in the league.
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
The lines, I chose to win the NFC. That was great right now... And I kinda feel real feel really good about that.
Jake Browning to be 1st on the depth chart
So, you know, Browning's gonna get that start.
Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year
Jonathan Taylor looks like offensive player of the year, best running back in the league.
New York Jets to pick “top five” (picks 1–5)
Well, the Jets are definitely gonna pick at the top five next April.
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
They're not gonna miss the playoffs... I'm not going to sit here and saying the Charging is back and the bolts from this playoffs.
Indianapolis Colts to beat Arizona Cardinals
And the Indianapolis Colts next have the Arizona Cardinals, which means the Colts will win, on a field goal with no time left.
J.J. McCarthy to be 1st on the depth chart
And we'll see how JJ McCarthy looks when he comes back from this bye week. That's gonna be McCarthy's first start, we think... They've gotta get started with JJ McCarthy.
Emeka Egbuka to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
And Emeka Abuka ... Appears to be the offensive rookie of the year unless somebody goes nuts and he somehow falls off the planet.
Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year
Kyle Shanahan is coach of the year front runner right now. Oh, I agree with you right there.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
I will basically say to you Ravens are still favored to win the division. I am not counting the Ravens out right now.
Denver Broncos to beat Bengals
And the Bengals prior to playing on Monday Night Football But we don't anticipate them beating the Broncos.
New York Giants to beat Saints
if they go to New Orleans and keep the Saints winless, which the Giants, dare I say, should do even without Malik Neighbors
Puka Nacua to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
Jefferson, Chase, all good. CD when he's 100% healthy. Give me Puka right now. ... This is not an overreaction at all.
Wan'Dale Robinson to be 1st on the depth chart
Wandell Robinson is gonna be the the top receiver, and the rest of them aren't Malik Neighbors.
Kenny Gainwell to be 1st on the depth chart
Kenneth Gainwell may have just gained the full time job there with all due respect to Jalen Warren
Green Bay Packers to reach the Super Bowl
Your prophecy is that they they go to the Super Bowl. That was what I said before the season.
Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs
Colts are no joke, man. They're a playoff team.
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
But I think they can absolutely win the AFC West... So I'm gonna say this is not an overreaction.
Puka Nacua to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
He's the best wide receiver in the NFL... I got Puka, wide receiver one right now.
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
They got their mojo back. The Chiefs are gonna win the AFC West.