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95.17% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
451–475 of 656
421 / 656
graded
235 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl
that was the AFC championship game preview
Indianapolis Colts to win the division
and now the Colts are the AFC South front runners. Danny Dimes.
Green Bay Packers to reach the Super Bowl
The NFC championship game is gonna be played at Lambeau Field.
Green Bay Packers to take the top seed
The NFC championship game is gonna be played at Lambeau Field.
Josh Allen to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards
Josh Allen is QB one.
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
The chargers are the team to beat in the AFC West.
Aaron Rodgers to record 40 passing tds
It does seem like Aaron Rodgers has hit the fountain of youth, Rich. He's gonna mirror that 2021 MVP season. 4035 Tutty's incoming.
Dallas Cowboys to pick “top five pick” (picks 1–5)
The Cowboys are gonna finish last in the NFC East and have a top five pick in the twenty twenty six NFL draft.
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
I know Atlanta can make the playoffs. The Bidens can make the playoffs. Broncos should make the playoffs.
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
But to say they're going in the NFC championship game and Brock's an MVP finalist again would be an amazing season... I will not call this an overreaction
Brock Purdy to win MVP finalist
to say they're going in the NFC championship game and Brock's an MVP finalist again... I will not call this an overreaction
New York Giants to beat expectations
The Giants are gonna be sniffing the playoffs the whole season. I'm with you. ... Sniffing the playoffs the whole season is a good way to put it, and I think that that that categorizes is not an overreaction.
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
What world do the Patriots make the playoffs in? This world? ... Yeah. The two that they make it in. Let's go. ... 10 wins should get in in the FC.
New York Giants to beat expectations
Every year, there's a team that comes out of nowhere... This year, this team was on it, but I don't know. It just seems like there's some vibes around this team. There's a coach we like. Is it the Giants?
Brock Purdy to win MVP finalist
The niners are going to championship weekend. Brock Purdy, MVP finalist.
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
The niners are going to championship weekend. Brock Purdy, MVP finalist.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
The Bengals are winning the AFC North. ... I think twelve and five wins the AFC North.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 13 wins
There's a path to 13 wins for the buck. That's all I'm saying.
Baker Mayfield to finish top 8 at his position, by passing yards
Baker Mayfield, what, top eight quarterbacks?
New England Patriots to beat expectations
I don't wanna carp on your your patriots and douse a flame here. They could be a sleeper team, but to win the division, threaten for the division
Terry McLaurin to move to Washington Commanders
Terry wants to get paid. Terry's gonna get paid by the Washington Commanders. ... I just would be stunned if they can't figure this thing out, for Terry McLaurin.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take the top seed
The Bucs have a real chance to be the one seed in the NFC. Everybody back all 11 on offense.
New York Jets to finish with 5 wins
But you're saying that the Giants and the Jets are both gonna have five wins apiece? Yeah. Five, six at most.
New York Giants to finish with 5 wins
But you're saying that the Giants and the Jets are both gonna have five wins apiece? Yeah. Five, six at most.
Bo Nix to record 4,500 passing yards
Bo Nicks 4,500 yards, 35 touchdowns.