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95.17% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
476–500 of 656
421 / 656
graded
235 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Bo Nix to win MVP finalist
Bo Nicks is gonna be an MVP finalist this year.
Rome Odunze to be 1st on the depth chart
Romadunze really has a chance to be the number one wide receiver in Chicago.
Mike Vrabel to win Coach of the Year
Mike Vrabel's gonna win coach of the year. The Pats are back, people.
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 12 wins
Dallas could be a twelve and five team.
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 12 wins
So they they went six and eleven last year. They could put twelve and five pretty easily.
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
It's only Baltimore in the AFC North.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
The Bucks make it again.
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
I think the eagles make it again.
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
The Lions make it again.
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
The Texans make it again.
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
Denver could make it again.
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 10 wins
And the Steelers, sir, as you know, book them for ten and seven. You know what I mean? Maybe eleven and six.
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
Will they win the AFC West again this year? I think that's more likely than not.
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
So I will say the Bills make it again.
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
if you're bubbling on the hot seat and Daniel Jones is your quarterback as it's gonna be for Shane Steichen in Indianapolis
Puka Nacua to record 2,000 receiving yards
I'll agree with you, and I'll give you one... I'm going Puka Nakua... You're down with the 2,000 yard wide receiver?
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 10 wins
Will they actually have double digit wins this year? That's more likely than not.
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
I think the Bengals are gonna make the playoffs this year.
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
The rams make it again.
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
The Ravens make it again.
Sam Darnold to be 1st on the depth chart
Sam Darnold is not getting benched in 2025.
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
I think the chargers make it again.
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
The Chiefs make it again.
Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
And Michael Penaics, obviously, is just he's gonna have his first ever week one start.
Bo Nix to record 35 passing tds
Bo Nicks 4,500 yards, 35 touchdowns.