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95.57% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 10 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
476–500 of 717
423 / 717
graded
294 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
The AFC North is only getting one playoff team, and it's the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl
More concerned about the Ravens going to the Super Bowl to fulfill your prophecy on that one through four weeks
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
the Rams are still the only threat to the Eagles getting back to the Super Bowl in the NFC
Daniel Jones to win MVP finalist
Danny Diamonds, Indiana Jones. He's gonna be an MVP finalist.
Green Bay Packers to win the Super Bowl
Look, man. I have them to win the Super Bowl, but it seems like we crown the Packers a little too early.
Justin Herbert to win MVP
Justin Herbert. He's the MVP through the first three weeks. Hands down.
Cincinnati Bengals to pick “picking in the top 10 this year” (picks 1–10)
Their season is absolutely cooked, and they're gonna be picking in the top 10 this year.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat expectations
The Bucks have that team of destiny feel to them after the first three games.
But right now, through three weeks, Rich, the Colts are top five team in the NFL.
Indianapolis Colts to win the division
and then continues on and wins this division, which it sure looks like they are in a pole position to do
Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 9 wins
He goes even one game under 500, they're gonna be nine and eight at the end of the season.
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
They look like a playoff team, Seattle.
what we're looking at with Jake Browning is potentially, and this is why he might be a backup, is a 500 quarterback
Jordan Love — MVP: finish no lower than second in MVP voting
He's gonna finish no lower than second in MVP voting this season. Can't argue with this. It's his time. I can't argue with it.
Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
And Jonathan Taylor, best running back in the NFL and the Colts are playoff team is not an overreaction. I have bought one.
Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs
Bro, they they are a playoff team. ... And Jonathan Taylor, best running back in the NFL and the Colts are playoff team is not an overreaction.
Mac Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
I can't sit here and say if somebody needs a new starting quarterback in 2026 that they won't say, look at what Donald did. Let's take Mac Jones. ... I'll buy it.
Green Bay Packers to finish with 13 wins
Certainly, the Packers look like a 14 or 13 win team.
Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs
Jonathan Taylor is the best running back in the NFL. Colts are a playoff team.
Jordan Love — MVP: finish no lower than second in MVP voting
I wanna talk about their quarterback, Jordan Love. He's gonna finish no lower than second in MVP voting this season.
Russell Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
Russell Wilson. He's gonna be the giant starting quarterback the entire season.
Mac Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
Mac Jones is an ex Sam Darnold. He's gonna be a starting quarterback in 2026.
Jonathan Taylor to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
Jonathan Taylor is the best running back in the NFL.
Jaxson Dart to be 1st on the depth chart
I've been saying that for a month and a half, and now I am saying put the rookie in there.
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
one team that looked like a wild card team on on Friday night in Brazil