Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 29, 2025
Brockman claimed the AFC North would send only the Steelers to the playoffs, that the Chiefs will win the AFC West, that Puka Nacua is the NFL's best wide receiver, and that the Jaguars are a top-eight team; they also had a preseason prophecy of the Ravens reaching the Super Bowl.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original
What Chris Brockman said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromThe AFC North is only getting one playoff team, and it's the Pittsburgh Steelers.
- Where it was said
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Week 4: Dart's Debut, Packers-Cowboys Tie, Chiefs are Back & More
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 29, 2025
- GradedAug 13–17, 2026
- 1Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl“More concerned about the Ravens going to the Super Bowl to fulfill your prophecy on that one through four weeks”
- 2Kansas City Chiefs to win the division“They got their mojo back. The Chiefs are gonna win the AFC West.”
- 3Puka Nacua to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards“He's the best wide receiver in the NFL... I got Puka, wide receiver one right now.”
- 4Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs“The AFC North is only getting one playoff team, and it's the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl1 | Conference Champions | NE and SEA won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kansas City Chiefs to win the division2 | Division Winners | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Puka Nacua to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards3 | Positional Finishes | Finished #2 | 91.67 | 0 | +167.75 | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs4 | Playoff Picks | Made the playoffs | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| 4 calls · 2 hits · 2 misses · all settled | 47.9 | 25 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive4 checkable claims — 1 conference champion, 1 division winner, 1 playoff pick and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 47.9 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Conference ChampionsBaltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked BAL0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.83difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE, SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
2Division WinnersKansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.83difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- won the division:
- no
3Positional FinishesPuka NacuaLos Angeles Rams
Puka Nacua to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
What happenedFinished #2called #1 · by receiving yards91.67Hit · naive 091.67this call−0a naive guess=91.67better than naive×1.83difficulty=+167.75skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 167.75
- player:
- Puka Nacua
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- receiving yards
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 24
- actual finish:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- predicted finish:
- 1
4Playoff PicksPittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
What happenedMade the playoffs100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.83difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.83
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 15
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
47.9naive 25
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.Jordan Dajani · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension.Mike Kadlick · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline.
More conference champions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Damonza Byrd · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says they believe New England will win in Denver even though they are taking the Broncos with the points.Nick Wright · Conference Champions · New England Patriots · Hit 100
The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; they also pick New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. They call Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL.Nick Wright · Conference Champions · Denver Broncos · Close 50
Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP.Derek Murphy · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl.Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell · Conference Champions · New England Patriots · Hit 100
Connor expects a tight first half in Denver before New England pulls away in the second half and advances to the Super Bowl.Gregg Rosenthal · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Rosenthal picks the Patriots to beat the Broncos in a close, low-scoring AFC Championship in Denver (while liking Denver to cover the 4.5 points), takes the Seahawks over the Rams in a defensive NFC Championship they peg around 23-19, and forecasts a Patriots-Seahawks Super Bowl.