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Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
51–61 of 61
60 / 61
graded
1 still pending
Donald Trump carried the state by just 3.5 points in 2020. This year, our model projects that Republicans will expand their margin in Florida relative to 2020.
She remains the narrowest of favorites in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Nevada
Our Senate update should come as no surprise, as Republicans remain significant favorites to flip the chamber.
She remains the narrowest of favorites in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Nevada
Democrats remain marginally favored to flip the chamber, but at 52%, this race is tighter than ever before... we'd probably pick the Democrats if we had to
Our forecast yet again gives Kamala Harris a 53% chance of winning the Electoral College.
while Trump maintains a slight edge in North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona
while Trump maintains a slight edge in North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona
while Trump maintains a slight edge in North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona
She remains the narrowest of favorites in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Nevada
She remains the narrowest of favorites in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Nevada