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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.34% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 67 articles (3 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
2676–2700 of 3,602
1,938 / 3,602
graded
1,664 still pending
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 11 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Dillon Gabriel to be 2nd on the depth chart
If in Week one Flacco goes out, you would have to be more comfortable putting Gabriel in.
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
We've got the Jags at plus one eighty to make the playoffs... I'm having them make the playoffs at plus one eighty.
Shedeur Sanders to be 3rd on the depth chart
he is fairly right now their third best option to be a starting quarterback
Joe Flacco to be 1st on the depth chart
the Browns start the season, they're bad. Third of the way into the season, they pull the plug on Flacco. They go to Dylan Gabriel.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 10 wins
The Bucks are going to win ten games. Ten games will get them in the playoffs at least ten games, I should say.
Las Vegas Raiders to beat expectations
there has to be the shock playoff team. I have cast my lot with it being the Raiders.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
Yeah, I mean they're gonna win the division
Travis Hunter to finish top 25 at his position, by fantasy points
I have my wide receiver twenty five. I have him at fifty second overall.
Jalen Coker to finish top 52 at his position, by fantasy points
So I moved him up. He is my wide receiver fifty two right now.
Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty five)
But I do believe that he can take the leap this year, having a much cleaner off season
Zay Flowers to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top sixty five picks)
I am out on Zay Flowers this year. Part of it is the cost... the real time ADP is inside the top sixty five picks... I don't think the cost aligns with the ceiling.
Xavier Worthy to finish top 36 at his position, by fantasy points
Will you have him at thirty six... that's why I bumped him up into the wide receiver three range.
Ricky Pearsall to finish top 26 at his position, by fantasy points
I have moved him up to wide receiver twenty six.
Travis Hunter to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty one and seventy fourth overall)
I have my wide receiver twenty five. I have him at fifty second overall. Right now in real time ADP, he is wide receiver thirty one and seventy fourth overall. I am aggressively ahead
Xavier Worthy to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver twenty four)
So in real time ADP, he's around wide receiver twenty four. I just to me, I don't see any meat on the bone where you're drafting him there.
Marquise Brown to fall short of his draft cost (back of the... final round picks)
Marque's Hollywood Brown Again, all of these guys that are like back of the you know, final round picks for people, count me out on all of them
Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty five)
the simple to put a bow on this conversation is you should invest in Ricky Piersall. This is a bet worth making this year.
Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost (the late rounds)
this year I have been hammering Jalen Cocker in the late rounds because the writing's been on the wall
Emeka Egbuka to be 1st on the depth chart
I wouldn't be surprised if he leads the Books in catches this year, and I wouldn't be surprised if he leads them in yards as well
Emeka Egbuka to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty three)
real time ADP he's wide receiver thirty three... I just keep moving him up, Just keep moving them up.
Keon Coleman to fall short of his draft cost (back of the... final round picks)
when I was writing up the top two fifty players like Kean Coleman fully out
Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty five)
The guy that I want to make sure I'm leaving almost every single draft with... is Ricky Pearsall... His real time ADP... is wide receiver thirty five.
DeVonta Smith to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver three)
In some places his ADP is a wide receiver three. Okay, that's ridiculous. So he's gonna pay off even if AJ Brown stays healthy
Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver seventy six)
Jalen Cocher is the one where you're making that bet for basically free... he's wide receiver seventy six, one hundred and sixty third overall
Zay Flowers to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver two)
will you find say Flowers and my players to avoid article Yes, because he was priced as a wide receiver two. I don't want to pay a wide receiver two price tag for him