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Draft Bust Calls

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
40
Graded
2

5% settled

Average accuracy
50.0

out of 100

Pundits
25

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
1 scored 80+1 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

2 / 40

graded

38 still pending

By season

  • 20240 of 1 graded
  • 20252 of 7 graded
  • 20260 of 32 graded

Who is good at draft bust calls

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every draft bust calls take

1–25 of 40

  • PendingBuck ReisingDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Anthony Richardson to disappoint at the next level

    Is there even a future for AR in the NFL right now? ... I mean, that would be. A bust of seismic proportions.

    Anthony RichardsonIndianapolis Colts

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Nov 8, 2026
  • PendingCarter BahnsDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Ashton Jeanty to disappoint at the next level

    But if Jeanty keeps picking up only 3.1 yards per carry, he may cede further touches to Washington and settle in as a passing-game specialist. That would be a monumental disappointment given the investment the Raiders made in him at the draft.

    Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Nov 2, 2026the article →
  • PendingJason FitzDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Cam Ward to disappoint at the next level

    you're looking at quite possibly the biggest bust at the number one overall position in the draft since Jamarcus Russell. Because that's what's happening right now when you talk about Cam Ward.

    Cam WardTennessee Titans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Nov 1, 2026the article →
  • PendingHanford DixonDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Dillon Gabriel to disappoint at the next level

    why are we wasting a third-round pick on this kid? I just don't know. I think we have lost our mind when we drafted him. From everything that I've seen in him, and I think he could be a good backup in the National Football League, but just not here.

    Dillon GabrielCleveland Browns

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Oct 30, 2026
  • PendingCarter BahnsDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Anthony Richardson to disappoint at the next level

    Ballard landed on Anthony Richardson as his target with the No. 4 overall pick ... While he remains on the roster, Richardson is a bust of a first-round pick at this stage of his career.

    Anthony RichardsonIndianapolis Colts

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Oct 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn ShipleyDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Jack Kiser to disappoint at the next level

    The Jaguars drafted Kiser with the No. 107th pick in the fourth-round of the 2025 NFL Draft... the Jaguars have their first draft bust of the Liam Coen/James Gladstone/Tony Boselli era.

    Jack KiserJacksonville Jaguars

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Oct 13, 2026the article →
  • PendingCarter BahnsDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    J.J. McCarthy to disappoint at the next level

    McCarthy has the pedigree of a potential mid-career breakout as a former No. 10 overall pick, but his Minnesota career was a bust. It would be a surprise if he ever delivered on the high expectations that followed him out of college.

    J.J. McCarthyNew York Giants

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 28, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn GreenDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    T.J. Sanders to disappoint at the next level

    The results—or rather lack thereof—speak volumes, and they show that Sanders is flirting with near bust status early on in his professional career.

    T.J. SandersBuffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 26, 2026the article →
  • PendingBlaine GrisakDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Xavier Legette to disappoint at the next level

    Much like Johnston, Legette hasn't lived up to his first-round draft status.

    Xavier LegetteCarolina Panthers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 24, 2026the article →
  • PendingBlaine GrisakDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Quentin Johnston to disappoint at the next level

    There's no doubt that Quentin Johnston is entering bust territory for the Chargers... He may not have developed into the first-round wide receiver that the Chargers envisioned

    Quentin JohnstonLos Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 24, 2026the article →
  • PendingCarter BahnsDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Marvin Harrison Jr. to disappoint at the next level

    While Wilson earned himself a new contract in the offseason as one of the NFL's highest-paid No. 2 wide receivers, Harrison is on his way to becoming a first-round bust in advance of his first free agency.

    Marvin Harrison Jr.Arizona Cardinals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 24, 2026the article →
  • PendingJared DubinDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Marvin Harrison Jr. to disappoint at the next level

    He's the former No. 4 overall pick in the NFL Draft. ... He looks like he could go down as a huge draft bust if anything remotely like this keeps up.

    Marvin Harrison Jr.Arizona Cardinals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 22, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Omarion Hampton to disappoint at the next level

    I don't love O'Marion Hampton. I don't think there's that much there... I see nothing special for a first-round back.

    Omarion HamptonLos Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingAlbert BreerDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level

    I'm not fully sold that that's 100% a hit with the 13th pick, but, um, he's looked good in the preseason.

    Ty SimpsonLos Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 28, 2026the article →
  • PendingKyle SoppeDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Xavier Worthy to disappoint at the next level

    we can comfortably say that Xavier Worthy isn’t likely to return a profit on the Round 1 capital that was spent on him in 2024

    Xavier WorthyKansas City Chiefs

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 12, 2026
  • PendingNick WrightDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Quentin Johnston to disappoint at the next level

    They are still holding on to hope that Quinton Johnston can validate his draft selection. I don't think he's going to validate his draft selection.

    Quentin JohnstonLos Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 28, 2026the article →
  • PendingEric CrockerDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    De'Zhaun Stribling to disappoint at the next level

    Traits work ethic raw, but it's gonna work because of his mindset. We lit three first round picks on fire. Mhmm. And I believe we just lit pick 33 on fire.

    De'Zhaun StriblingSan Francisco 49ers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 29, 2026the article →
  • PendingChris BrockmanDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level

    They're gonna wish they had taken Ruben Bane or Mekhi Lehman last week. Like, come on, man. This wasted pick on Ty Simms.

    Ty SimpsonLos Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 28, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level

    But when you use the thirteenth overall pick on a quarterback, the pressure on that guy is to be a top ten quarterback... And that is the issue with the Rams is they paid a premium for a guy, by all accounts, is not a premium. His best case scenario is to be like the tenth to fifteenth quarterback in the NFL that's best case scenario.

    Ty SimpsonLos Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 27, 2026the article →
  • PendingBrian & GeoffDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to disappoint at the next level

    So you're not paying a running back over fifty million dollars a year guaranteed who probably can't help your team win that much in year one. I just don't like him, man, I just didn't like it. I thought there are better players on the board... so far, Arizona has my only F

    Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 25, 2026
  • PendingBrian & GeoffDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Keldric Faulk to disappoint at the next level

    Keldrick Faulk is just I would not draft him in the first round... He's big, huge, big defensive end. Doesn't it doesn't run, it doesn't rush the quarterback very well.

    Keldric FaulkTennessee Titans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 25, 2026
  • PendingChad Ochocinco JohnsonDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level

    I like tdd Simpson. I like what he did. You know at Alabama? It was cool. But he's not the one. Excuse me, let me take this back. He's not one that's going to be the successor to goddamn Matt Stafford.

    Ty SimpsonLos Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 25, 2026the article →
  • PendingKenjon BarnerDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level

    I think Ty is a good quarterback. But I don't believe that he was a first round quarterback... I think that was the most, eyebrow raising pick of the first round.

    Ty SimpsonLos Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 25, 2026
  • PendingJim DanielsDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level

    That's what you wanted out of all of that talent? Somebody you could easily had at the end of the second round, maybe the third round?... that's a terrible pick.

    Ty SimpsonLos Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 25, 2026the article →
  • PendingRichard ShermanDraft Bust Calls2026 season

    Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level

    I'm shocked that Tyz Simpson was drafted in the first round... I don't see how this helps them this year. I don't really see how it helps them next year... he's I think the fourth quarterback with less than sixteen starts to be drafted in the first round, and none of them are doing really well in the National Football League.

    Ty Simpson

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 24, 2026the article →

By topic

NFL — draft bust calls (2 graded)

Topics we cover today: NFL, US Elections, The Economy. Every kind of prediction belongs to one of them; this page sits above the topic so that adding another does not mean rewriting every link.