Draft Bust Calls
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 40
- Graded
- 2
- Average accuracy
- 50.0
- Pundits
- 25
5% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
2 / 40
graded
38 still pending
By season
- 20240 of 1 graded
- 20252 of 7 graded
- 20260 of 32 graded
Who is good at draft bust calls
- John Middlekauff50 accuracy · 2 graded+3.0
provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
By publisher
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)100.0 · 1 graded
- 3 and Out with John Middlekauff (podcast)0.0 · 1 graded
Every draft bust calls take
1–25 of 40
- PendingBuck ReisingDraft Bust Calls2026 season
Anthony Richardson to disappoint at the next level
Is there even a future for AR in the NFL right now? ... I mean, that would be. A bust of seismic proportions.
Anthony RichardsonIndianapolis Colts
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Nov 8, 2026 Ashton Jeanty to disappoint at the next level
But if Jeanty keeps picking up only 3.1 yards per carry, he may cede further touches to Washington and settle in as a passing-game specialist. That would be a monumental disappointment given the investment the Raiders made in him at the draft.
Cam Ward to disappoint at the next level
you're looking at quite possibly the biggest bust at the number one overall position in the draft since Jamarcus Russell. Because that's what's happening right now when you talk about Cam Ward.
- PendingHanford DixonDraft Bust Calls2026 season
Dillon Gabriel to disappoint at the next level
why are we wasting a third-round pick on this kid? I just don't know. I think we have lost our mind when we drafted him. From everything that I've seen in him, and I think he could be a good backup in the National Football League, but just not here.
Dillon GabrielCleveland Browns
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Oct 30, 2026 Anthony Richardson to disappoint at the next level
Ballard landed on Anthony Richardson as his target with the No. 4 overall pick ... While he remains on the roster, Richardson is a bust of a first-round pick at this stage of his career.
Jack Kiser to disappoint at the next level
The Jaguars drafted Kiser with the No. 107th pick in the fourth-round of the 2025 NFL Draft... the Jaguars have their first draft bust of the Liam Coen/James Gladstone/Tony Boselli era.
J.J. McCarthy to disappoint at the next level
McCarthy has the pedigree of a potential mid-career breakout as a former No. 10 overall pick, but his Minnesota career was a bust. It would be a surprise if he ever delivered on the high expectations that followed him out of college.
T.J. Sanders to disappoint at the next level
The results—or rather lack thereof—speak volumes, and they show that Sanders is flirting with near bust status early on in his professional career.
Xavier Legette to disappoint at the next level
Much like Johnston, Legette hasn't lived up to his first-round draft status.
Quentin Johnston to disappoint at the next level
There's no doubt that Quentin Johnston is entering bust territory for the Chargers... He may not have developed into the first-round wide receiver that the Chargers envisioned
Marvin Harrison Jr. to disappoint at the next level
While Wilson earned himself a new contract in the offseason as one of the NFL's highest-paid No. 2 wide receivers, Harrison is on his way to becoming a first-round bust in advance of his first free agency.
Marvin Harrison Jr. to disappoint at the next level
He's the former No. 4 overall pick in the NFL Draft. ... He looks like he could go down as a huge draft bust if anything remotely like this keeps up.
Omarion Hampton to disappoint at the next level
I don't love O'Marion Hampton. I don't think there's that much there... I see nothing special for a first-round back.
Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level
I'm not fully sold that that's 100% a hit with the 13th pick, but, um, he's looked good in the preseason.
- PendingKyle SoppeDraft Bust Calls2026 season
Xavier Worthy to disappoint at the next level
we can comfortably say that Xavier Worthy isn’t likely to return a profit on the Round 1 capital that was spent on him in 2024
Xavier WorthyKansas City Chiefs
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 12, 2026 Quentin Johnston to disappoint at the next level
They are still holding on to hope that Quinton Johnston can validate his draft selection. I don't think he's going to validate his draft selection.
De'Zhaun Stribling to disappoint at the next level
Traits work ethic raw, but it's gonna work because of his mindset. We lit three first round picks on fire. Mhmm. And I believe we just lit pick 33 on fire.
Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level
They're gonna wish they had taken Ruben Bane or Mekhi Lehman last week. Like, come on, man. This wasted pick on Ty Simms.
Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level
But when you use the thirteenth overall pick on a quarterback, the pressure on that guy is to be a top ten quarterback... And that is the issue with the Rams is they paid a premium for a guy, by all accounts, is not a premium. His best case scenario is to be like the tenth to fifteenth quarterback in the NFL that's best case scenario.
- PendingBrian & GeoffDraft Bust Calls2026 season
Jeremiyah Love to disappoint at the next level
So you're not paying a running back over fifty million dollars a year guaranteed who probably can't help your team win that much in year one. I just don't like him, man, I just didn't like it. I thought there are better players on the board... so far, Arizona has my only F
Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 25, 2026 - PendingBrian & GeoffDraft Bust Calls2026 season
Keldric Faulk to disappoint at the next level
Keldrick Faulk is just I would not draft him in the first round... He's big, huge, big defensive end. Doesn't it doesn't run, it doesn't rush the quarterback very well.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 25, 2026 Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level
I like tdd Simpson. I like what he did. You know at Alabama? It was cool. But he's not the one. Excuse me, let me take this back. He's not one that's going to be the successor to goddamn Matt Stafford.
- PendingKenjon BarnerDraft Bust Calls2026 season
Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level
I think Ty is a good quarterback. But I don't believe that he was a first round quarterback... I think that was the most, eyebrow raising pick of the first round.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Apr 25, 2026 Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level
That's what you wanted out of all of that talent? Somebody you could easily had at the end of the second round, maybe the third round?... that's a terrible pick.
Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level
I'm shocked that Tyz Simpson was drafted in the first round... I don't see how this helps them this year. I don't really see how it helps them next year... he's I think the fourth quarterback with less than sixteen starts to be drafted in the first round, and none of them are doing really well in the National Football League.
By topic
NFL — draft bust calls (2 graded)
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